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Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026

The Effectiveness of Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII) and Systemic Inflammation Response Index (SIRI) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) Score in Predicting Prognosis in Portal Vein Thrombosis, a Pilot Study.

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Yumrutepe Sevgi, Dolanbay Turgut, Nogay Süleyman, Demir Bilgehan, Polat Muhammed Eyyüb

Аннотация

Background/Objectives: Portal vein thrombosis (PVT) is a clinically significant condition in which early risk stratification remains challenging, particularly in emergency settings where rapid decision-making is required. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of the Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII), Systemic Inflammation Response Index (SIRI), and the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score in predicting the need for intensive care in patients with PVT. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on adult patients (>18 years) diagnosed with PVT in the emergency department between January 2018 and December 2024. A total of 29 patients meeting the inclusion and exclusion criteria were included. Demographic characteristics, laboratory parameters, Intensive Care Unit (ICU) admission status, and 90-day mortality were analyzed. The sensitivity and specificity of MELD, SII, and SIRI for predicting ICU admission were calculated. Non-normally distributed variables were expressed as median (interquartile range, IQR) and compared using the Mann-Whitney U test. Results: The mean age of patients was 60.5 ± 16.2 years, and 18/29 (62.1%) were male. ICU admission was required in 9/29 (31.0%) of cases. MELD score (median 18.7 [11.0-21.9] vs. 7.9 [6.7-13.5], p = 0.003), bilirubin (median 2.4 [1.0-4.2] vs. 0.7 [0.4-1.1], p = 0.016), and SIRI (median 6.4 [2.3-21.3] vs. 1.4 [0.6-9.3], p = 0.038) were significantly higher in ICU-admitted patients. MELD score showed 66.7% sensitivity and 95% specificity, while SIRI had 88.9% sensitivity and 55% specificity for ICU prediction. Conclusions: MELD score, bilirubin, and SIRI are significantly associated with ICU admission in PVT patients. Their integration into emergency department protocols may assist in early risk stratification and resource allocation.

ИП Урсолов Владлен Сергеевич

ИНН 500118482352 · ОГРНИП 314500117700049

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