Journal of thoracic disease · 2026
Transthoracic ultrasound features to differentiate tuberculous from malignant pleural effusion: development of a machine learning-based clinical prediction model.
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Kho Sze Shyang, Law William Kian Boon, Nyanti Larry Ellee, Tan Shirin Hui, Huan Nai Chien, Lee Chiou Perng, Sirol Aflah Syazatul Syakirin, Ng Khai Lip, Soo Chun Ian, Teoh Sze Kye, Chai Chan Sin, Tie Siew Teck, Ho Rong Lih, Ramarmuty Hema Yamini Devi, Tan Hui Xin, Tan Chen Yong, Aziz Aida Abdul
Аннотация
BACKGROUND: Tuberculous pleural effusion (TBE) and malignant pleural effusion (MPE) are the most common causes of exudative pleural effusion in tuberculosis-endemic regions. This study evaluates transthoracic ultrasound (TUS) features of TBE vs. MPE and incorporates clinical and pleural fluid (Pf) parameters into a machine learning-based random forest (RF) model for differentiation.
METHODS: This prospective observational study was conducted over 6 months across six tertiary hospitals in Malaysia, involving patients undergoing diagnostic medical thoracoscopy (MT). Diagnostic confidence for TBE and MPE was determined based on final thoracoscopic diagnosis. Logistic regression and RF models were applied to predefined clinical, imaging, and laboratory variables.
RESULTS: Among 187 recruited patients, 132 (70 TBE and 62 MPE) subjects with at least moderate diagnostic confidence were analyzed. On TUS, TBE was more likely to be non-hyperechoic, complex, and loculated, with the presence of fibrin and less pleural thickening, while MPE showed hyperechoic effusion and hemidiaphragm nodules. Independent predictors for TBE included younger age [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) =0.94], presence of fibrin (aOR =2.86), lower Pf lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (aOR =0.996), and higher Pf adenosine deaminase (ADA) (aOR =1.10). Without Pf ADA, these parameters, along with the absence of hemidiaphragm nodules (aOR =0.33), remained significant for TBE prediction. The RF model outperformed logistic regression (92.6% vs. 87.9% accuracy), even without Pf ADA.
CONCLUSIONS: TUS parameters can aid in differentiating TBE from MPE. The RF model demonstrated superior diagnostic performance, offering a potential point-of-care tool, even in the absence of Pf ADA.
METHODS: This prospective observational study was conducted over 6 months across six tertiary hospitals in Malaysia, involving patients undergoing diagnostic medical thoracoscopy (MT). Diagnostic confidence for TBE and MPE was determined based on final thoracoscopic diagnosis. Logistic regression and RF models were applied to predefined clinical, imaging, and laboratory variables.
RESULTS: Among 187 recruited patients, 132 (70 TBE and 62 MPE) subjects with at least moderate diagnostic confidence were analyzed. On TUS, TBE was more likely to be non-hyperechoic, complex, and loculated, with the presence of fibrin and less pleural thickening, while MPE showed hyperechoic effusion and hemidiaphragm nodules. Independent predictors for TBE included younger age [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) =0.94], presence of fibrin (aOR =2.86), lower Pf lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (aOR =0.996), and higher Pf adenosine deaminase (ADA) (aOR =1.10). Without Pf ADA, these parameters, along with the absence of hemidiaphragm nodules (aOR =0.33), remained significant for TBE prediction. The RF model outperformed logistic regression (92.6% vs. 87.9% accuracy), even without Pf ADA.
CONCLUSIONS: TUS parameters can aid in differentiating TBE from MPE. The RF model demonstrated superior diagnostic performance, offering a potential point-of-care tool, even in the absence of Pf ADA.