Glucagon-like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists and Risk of Nonarteritic Anterior Ischemic Optic Neuropathy: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND AND

OBJECTIVES

Recent observational studies have reported conflicting evidence regarding an association between glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RAs), particularly semaglutide, and nonarteritic anterior ischemic optic neuropathy (NAION). We aimed to synthesize the pooled evidence assessing the association between GLP-1RA use and NAION risk.

METHODS

Embase, Medline, and Cochrane CENTRAL databases were searched from inception to April 5, 2025. Observational studies and randomized controlled trials comparing NAION risk in GLP-1RA users with non-GLP-1RA users were included. Title/abstract and full-text screening were conducted in duplicate by 2 independent reviewers. Discrepancies were resolved through discussion or adjudication by a third reviewer. Risk of bias was assessed using the Risk of Bias In Nonrandomized Studies of Interventions (ROBINS-I) tool, and the certainty of evidence was evaluated using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation framework. Pooled relative risks (RRs) were estimated using Bayesian random-effects models, incorporating half-normal, between-study, and weakly informative priors. The RR with 95% credible interval (CrI) was computed to analyze the development of NAION associated with GLP-1RA exposure.

RESULTS

Five studies were included in the primary analysis, encompassing 1,593,554 patients (682,456 semaglutide users and 911,098 non-GLP-1RA users). Semaglutide use was associated with a high probability of increased risk of NAION compared with non-GLP-1RA use (RR: 2.52, 95% CrI [1.56, 4.72], I2: 57.8%, P(RR > 1): 99.9%). This association was particularly pronounced among patients with diabetes (RR: 2.41, 95% CrI [1.57, 4.10], I2: 47.2%, P(RR > 1): 99.9%). The overall incidence of NAION across 5 studies and 7 comparisons, encompassing 1,460,760 patients (semaglutide: 1,108,542; dulaglutide: 326,282; and exenatide: 25,936) and 272 NAION events (semaglutide: 198; dulaglutide: 54; and exenatide: 20) was 85 cases per 100,000 GLP-1RA users (95% CrI [29, 263], I2: 98.8%, P(incidence >0.00001): 100%). The incidence of NAION across 1,108,542 semaglutide users was 118 cases per 100,000 (95% CrI [32, 451], I2: 98.8%, P(incidence >0.00001): 100%). Leave-one-out sensitivity analyses consistently supported these findings.

DISCUSSION: Low-to-moderate certainty evidence indicates that semaglutide significantly increases risk of NAION relative to non-GLP-1RAs, particularly among patients with diabetes. These findings warrant further investigation and should inform clinical risk-benefit discussions.