Prognostic value of plasma brain-derived pTau.

BACKGROUND

Plasma brain-derived pTau217 (BD-pTau217) may provide a Alzheimer's disease-specific plasma tau measure than total pTau217, but its prognostic value is unclear. We compared BD-pTau217 and total plasma pTau217 for predicting clinical and amyloid PET progression in cognitively unimpaired (CU) ADNI participants.

METHODS

Plasma NULISAseq biomarkers were measured in 1,427 ADNI participants, including 529 CU individuals. Amyloid PET progression was assessed in baseline CU amyloid-negative participants (Centiloid ≥24.1) with longitudinal PET imaging; clinical progression was assessed in all baseline CU participants. Associations were evaluated using Cox models and time-dependent AUC.

RESULTS

BD-pTau217 did not clearly outperform total pTau217 for predicting progression to mild cognitive impairment or dementia. However, among baseline amyloid-negative participants (N=175), BD-pTau217 better predicted amyloid PET positivity at 2.5 years (tdAUC 0.82 vs 0.69; HR=10.54, p=0.00015) and 4 years (tdAUC 0.77 vs 0.64; HR=7.03, p=0.00055).

CONCLUSION

BD-pTau217 improved prediction of near-term amyloid PET progression, with less clear advantage for clinical progression.