Survival of Patients with Alcohol-Related Liver Disease Cirrhosis-Usefulness of the New Liver Mortality Inpatients Prognostic Score.

Background/

Objectives

Alcohol can directly damage the liver, causing steatosis, steatohepatitis, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular cancer. The aim of this study was to examine 28-day survival in hospitalized patients with alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) cirrhosis, as well as to develop and validate a new survival prediction model.

Methods

A total of 145 patients with ALD cirrhosis were included; 107 were diagnosed with acute decompensation (AD) and 38 with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). The new liver mortality inpatients (LIV-IN) score was calculated using the following variables: hepatic encephalopathy (HE), hepatorenal syndrome (HRS), ascites, systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), community-acquired infection (CAI), and fibrinogen. The diagnostic accuracy of the LIV-IN score was tested, along with the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), model for end-stage liver disease-sodium (MELD-Na), albumin-bilirubin (ALBI), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), chronic liver failure consortium-C acute decompensation (CLIF-C AD), and chronic liver failure consortium-acute-on-chronic liver failure (CLIF-C ACLF).

Results

Lethal outcome occurred in 46 (31.7%) patients. The mortality rate was higher in the ACLF group (n = 22, 57.9%) compared to the AD group (n = 24, 22.4%) (p < 0.01). The highest predictive power for short-term mortality was observed for the LIV-IN score (AUC 73.4%, p < 0.01). In patients with AD, the diagnostic accuracy of the CLIF-C AD score was better than for the LIV-IN score (AUC 0.699; p = 0.004, AUC 0.686; p = 0.007, respectively). In patients with ACLF, only the LIV-IN score had statistically significant discriminative power in predicting 28-day survival.

Conclusions

The liver mortality inpatients prognostic score is a new, reliable prognostic model in predicting 28-day mortality.