Alcohol consumption, cigarette sales and mortality in the United Kingdom: an analysis of the period 1970-1985.

This paper examines official published statistics for various causes of death in the United Kingdom between 1970 and 1985. The variables selected were mainly those that had been linked to alcohol or cigarette use. In particular, changes in mortality due to acute myocardial infarction, cancer of trachea, bronchus and lung, cirrhosis of the liver and 'alcoholism' were found to be associated with each other. Changes in all of these were highly associated with changes in both alcohol consumption and cigarette sales. For most of the causes of death examined, correlations were higher for changes in the current year than they were for lagged data. Thus even chronic disorders related to prolonged heavy alcohol or tobacco use appear to be influenced rapidly by shifts in general levels of drinking and smoking.