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Therapeutic advances in gastroenterology · 2026

Long-term effectiveness of endoscopic and stool-based colorectal cancer screening strategies: a systematic review and network meta-analysis.

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Kaneko Motoki, Sakuraba Atsushi

Аннотация

BACKGROUND: The population impact of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening depends on test performance and uptake, yet the comparative effectiveness of colonoscopy (CS), flexible sigmoidoscopy (FS), fecal immunochemical test (FIT), and guaiac-based fecal occult blood test (gFOBT) remains uncertain.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the 10-year effects of CS, FS, FIT, and gFOBT on CRC incidence, CRC mortality, and all-cause mortality.

DESIGN: A systematic review and network meta-analysis.

DATA SOURCES AND METHODS: We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane CENTRAL from inception to June 13, 2025, for randomized controlled trials enrolling average-risk adults comparing CS, FS, FIT, or gFOBT with no screening (NS) or each other. Risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were synthesized using a frequentist random-effects model. Intention-to-treat (ITT) analyses estimated invitation-based population effectiveness, with exploratory per-protocol (PP) analyses serving as a complementary assessment for screening completers (high risk of bias and very low certainty). The sparse network lacked closed loops, precluding formal inconsistency assessment.

RESULTS: In ITT analyses, CS (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.72-0.96) and FS (0.78, 0.74-0.83), but not FIT (limited evidence) or gFOBT, reduced CRC incidence versus NS. For CRC mortality, FS (0.74, 0.67-0.83) and gFOBT (0.87, 0.79-0.95), but not CS or FIT, reduced risk. No strategy reduced all-cause mortality. In exploratory PP analyses, CS (0.78, 0.62-0.99) and FS (0.72, 0.66-0.79) reduced CRC incidence. For CRC mortality, CS (0.52, 0.31-0.85), FS (0.58, 0.49-0.70), and gFOBT (0.71, 0.61-0.82) reduced risk.

CONCLUSION: CS reduced CRC incidence in ITT analyses but showed limited population-level effectiveness when uptake was low. FS reduced CRC incidence and mortality in ITT analyses, and gFOBT reduced CRC mortality. Screening strategies should be selected based on test characteristics, real-world participation, and healthcare capacity. PP findings were exploratory and should not be used in isolation to guide recommendations.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: PROSPERO registration number CRD420251127511.

ИП Урсолов Владлен Сергеевич

ИНН 500118482352 · ОГРНИП 314500117700049

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