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EJHaem · 2026

Treatment Discontinuation After Achieving MRD Negativity in Multiple Myeloma in the Pre-BCMA Era: A Prospective, Single-Centre Study.

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Sato K, Suzuki K, Sugita S, Kondo U, Watanabe M, Yogo M, Takei T, Ogura M, Abe Y, Kikuchi T, Tsukada N, Ishida T

Аннотация

OBJECTIVES: Minimal/measurable residual disease (MRD) negativity in multiple myeloma (MM) is associated with favourable outcomes; nonetheless, evidence supporting treatment discontinuation remains limited. We evaluated the feasibility of discontinuing antimyeloma therapy in patients with MRD negativity.

METHODS: We analysed 41 patients who discontinued therapy after achieving MRD negativity at the 10-5 level in the bone marrow (BM) and on imaging studies. Treatment regimens and lines of therapy were not prespecified. After discontinuation, patients were monitored with periodic MRD assessments. Salvage therapy was initiated at disease progression. For isolated BM-MRD conversion, treatment decisions were made jointly by the investigator and the patient.

RESULTS: The 2- and 3-year treatment-free survival (TFS) rates were 71.2% (95% CI, 54.0-83.0) and 67.9% (95% CI, 50.1-80.4), respectively, with the median not reached. Among the 34 patients with > 2 years of follow-up, 19 (55.9%) maintained MRD negativity at 2 years. High-risk cytogenetic abnormalities were associated with shorter TFS, whereas a BM normal plasma cell proportion ≥ 0.003% at discontinuation was associated with prolonged TFS.

CONCLUSIONS: Treatment discontinuation may be feasible in selected patients with MM who achieve and sustain MRD negativity, particularly in those without high-risk cytogenetics or with normal plasma cell recovery in the BM. Trial Registration: The authors have confirmed clinical trial registration is not needed for this submission.

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https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes.

Introduction

Multiple myeloma (MM) is a haematologic malignancy that is generally considered incurable. Nonetheless, the introduction of high‐dose melphalan with autologous stem cell transplantation (HDM/ASCT) and three major classes of antimyeloma agents—proteasome inhibitors (PIs), immunomodulatory imide drugs (IMiDs), and anti‐CD38 antibodies—has significantly improved response rates and survival. In addition, novel immunotherapies targeting antigens such as the B‐cell maturation antigen (BCMA) have been introduced earlier in the treatment course for relapsed/refractory (RR) MM. These advances have markedly improved patient outcomes [ 1 , 2 , 3 ].

Conversely, the development of technologies to detect minimal/measurable residual disease (MRD) in the bone marrow (BM), such as next‐generation flow (NGF) cytometry and next‐generation sequencing (NGS), has enabled more sensitive treatment response assessments compared to conventional evaluations based on monoclonal protein detection or standard flow cytometry [ 4 ]. Notably, MRD negativity has been associated with significantly improved survival outcomes regardless of the treatment regimen, disease setting (newly diagnosed [ND] MM or RRMM), MRD sensitivity thresholds, cytogenetic risk, MRD assessment method, clinical response depth at MRD measurement, and MRD assessment timing [ 5 ]. Importantly, MRD negativity is widely accepted as a valid endpoint in clinical trials [ 6 ].

Currently, MM treatment is generally continued until disease progression, even after MRD negativity [ 1 ]. Although several prospective studies have evaluated treatment discontinuation after sustained MRD negativity, highlighting encouraging results [ 7 , 8 ], the current evidence remains insufficient to support changes to standard treatment strategies.

This prospective study aimed to evaluate the feasibility of discontinuing antimyeloma therapy in patients who achieved sustained MRD negativity in the pre‐BCMA‐targeting era and to determine whether this approach leads to durable, treatment‐free remission.

Methods

Patient Eligibility Criteria

The eligibility criteria for this study were as follows: patients aged 20 years or older with an MM diagnosis who had received continuous treatment, achieved MRD negativity at a sensitivity level of 10 −5 , and expressed a desire to discontinue treatment. The treatment regimen or line of therapy leading to MRD negativity was not predefined, and patients with a history of clinical trial participation were eligible for inclusion.

Study Design

Patients who met the eligibility criteria discontinued antimyeloma therapy and attended outpatient follow‐up visits every 1–3 months. At each visit, blood and urine tests, including quantification of M protein, measurement of serum‐free light chains, and serum and urine immunofixation electrophoresis, were performed to monitor disease progression. BM‐MRD status was assessed every 12 months using the Marrow Plasma 10c assay from BML Inc., which has a sensitivity comparable to that of the EuroFlow method [ 9 ]. Imaging (I)‐MRD status was evaluated using fluorine‐18 fluorodeoxyglucose (18F‐FDG) positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) scans every 12–24 months. When PET/CT imaging could not be performed, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) or conventional CT was used as a substitute. Salvage therapy was initiated at confirmation of disease progression. In the event of BM‐MRD conversion without meeting the International Myeloma Working Group (IMWG) criteria for progressive disease (PD), treatment reinitiation was determined through discussion between the investigator and the patient.

This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Japanese Red Cross Medical Centre. Written informed consent was obtained from all patients in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki.

Definitions of High‐Risk Cytogenetics, Treatment Response and MRD Negativity

High‐risk cytogenetic abnormalities (HRCAs) were defined according to the revised International Staging System (R‐ISS) and included t(4;14), t(14;16) and del(17p) [ 10 ]. Treatment response was assessed according to the IMWG criteria [ 11 ]. BM‐MRD negativity was defined as < 10 − 5 in accordance with the IMWG criteria.

Study Endpoints

The primary endpoints were treatment‐free survival (TFS) and the MRD negativity rate 2 years after treatment discontinuation. The secondary endpoints included time to next treatment, overall survival (OS), and relapse‐free survival (RFS) among patients who resumed treatment, and the correlation between TFS and potential prognostic factors, as described below.

Statistical Analysis

TFS, RFS, and OS were analysed using the Kaplan–Meier method, and comparisons between groups were performed using a two‐tailed log‐rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess potential covariates, including disease risk, treatment history, time to complete response (CR), the interval from confirmation of MRD negativity to treatment discontinuation, and the normal plasma cell ratio in the BM at treatment discontinuation. Quantitative factors were categorised into two groups based on the cut‐off value determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Associations between categorical variables were evaluated using the χ 2 or Fisher's exact test. The Kruskal–Wallis test was used for comparisons involving three or more groups. p values of less than 0.05 were considered statistically significant, and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for all analyses. All statistical analyses were performed using EZR software [ 12 ].

Results

Patient Characteristics

Between April 2020 and March 2025, eligibility was assessed in 51 patients when BM‐MRD negativity was confirmed during antimyeloma therapy; among these, 41 met the eligibility criteria. A subset of these patients was diagnosed at other referral institutions; however, all patients had a documented treatment history at our institution.

The baseline patient characteristics are presented in Table 1 . The median age at treatment discontinuation was 62 years (range, 39–80 years), and 56.1% of the patients were male. The ISS stage distribution was 46.3%, 41.5%, and 9.8% for Stages I, II and III, respectively; one patient was unevaluable. Regarding M‐protein type, IgG was the predominant type (58.5%), and κ light chain accounted for 68.3% of cases. HRCAs were detected in five patients (12.2%), with one patient exhibiting both t(4;14) and del(17p). At treatment discontinuation, 33 (80.5%) and four (9.8%) patients were on first‐line therapy and second‐ or third‐line therapy, respectively. The median time from treatment initiation to CR achievement and the median duration from CR to treatment discontinuation were 10 (range, 2–79) and 32 (range, 3–82) months, respectively.

TABLE 1
Patient characteristics.
Note : Fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) analysis for high‐risk cytogenetic abnormalities, including 1q gain/amplification, was not uniformly performed in all patients. The cohort comprised four patients who achieved MRD negativity after second‐line therapy and another four after third‐line therapy. Abbreviations: AMC, absolute monocyte count; BJP, Bence–Jones protein; BM, bone marrow; ISS, International Staging System; LOD, limit of detection; NA, not available; PCs, plasma cells; R‐ISS, revised ISS; TD, treatment discontinuation.

N = 41
Age at treatment discontinuation (TD), median (range)62 (39—80)
Sex, n (%)
Male23 (56.1)
Female18 (43.9)
ISS, n (%)
I19 (46.3)
II17 (41.5)
III4 (9.8)
NA1 (2.4)
R‐ISS, n (%)
I18 (43.9)
II11 (26.8)
III3 (7.3)
NA9 (21.9)
Type, n (%)
IgG24 (58.5)
IgA5 (12.2)
IgE1 (2.4)
BJP11 (26.8)
kappa28 (68.3)
lambda13 (31.7)
Extramedullary disease at diagnosis, n (%)1(2.4)
Cytogenetics (FISH), n (%)
t(4;14)2 (4.9)
del(17p)2 (4.9)
del(17p) + t(4;14)1 (2.4)
None27 (65.9)
NA9 (23.8)
1q gain or amp1/4
t(11;14)4/32
Karyotype (G‐band), n (%)
Normal31 (75.6)
Hyperdiploidy2 (4.9)
Complex5 (12.2)
NA3 (7.3)
Treatment line(s), n (%)
133 (80.5)
24 (9.8)
34 (9.8)
Median time to achieving CR, months (range)10 (2–79)
Median interval from CR to TD, months (range)32 (3–82)
Interval from MRD negativity confirmation to TD, months
Median (range)17.5 (2.0–52.6)
< 12, n (%)12 (29.3)
12–24, n (%)11 (26.8)
> 24, n (%)18 (43.9)
Median AMC at TD, /µL (range)331 (160–880)
Median serum IgM level at TD, mg/dL (range)14 (3–69)
Median BM normal PCs at TD, % (range)0.025647 (0.000029–0.768090)
Median MRD at TD, % (range)0.000000 (0.000000–0.000610)
Median LOD of MRD at TD, % (range)0.000006 (0.000006–0.000015)

The interval from MRD negativity confirmation to treatment discontinuation was < 12 (range, 2–11), 12–24 (range, 12–20), and >24 (range, 25–53) months in 12 (29.3%), 11 (26.8%), and 18 (43.9%) patients, respectively. Among the three groups, the ≤ 12‐month group included a higher proportion of patients with HRCAs. In contrast, all patients in the > 24‐month group were treated in the first‐line setting and had the longest exposure to PIs and IMiDs (Table S1 ).

The median proportion of normal plasma cells in the BM at the time of treatment discontinuation was 0.025647% (range, 0.000029–0.768090%). The median actual limit of detection (LOD) of the MRD was 0.000006% (range, 0.000006–0.000015%).

Treatment Characteristics

As this study did not impose restrictions on induction therapy regimens, the patients exhibited various treatment histories. A summary of treatment histories categorised by 65 years, the approximate age cut‐off for ASCT eligibility, is presented in Table S2 and Figure S1 .

The most common induction therapy was bortezomib (BTZ), with over 80% consisting of VRd (BTZ, lenalidomide [LEN] and dexamethasone [DEXA]); VCD (BTZ, cyclophosphamide and DEXA) and Vd regimens were also included. Daratumumab (DARA)‐containing regimens were administered to four (12.9%) and two (20%) patients aged < 65 years and 65 years or older, respectively; a four‐drug combination was administered to one patient in the ≥ 65‐year group. In some patients, a second induction regimen was administered to enhance the treatment response (Figure 1 ).

FIGURE 1 Clinical course of the study patients. The left panel shows the duration of the last line of therapy in which MRD negativity was achieved. The left end of each bar repres…
FIGURE 1 Clinical course of the study patients. The left panel shows the duration of the last line of therapy in which MRD negativity was achieved. The left end of each bar represents the initiation of treatment, while the right end indicates the point of treatment discontinuation. The length of each bar corresponds to the treatment duration. BM‐MRD results are presented only from the time point when BM‐MRD first converted to negative. The right panel depicts the clinical course following treatment discontinuation. In patient 32, BM‐MRD converted to positive once and subsequently reverted to negative without additional therapy. allo‐SCT, allogeneic stem cell transplantation; BM, bone marrow.

HDM/ASCT was performed in 25 (80.6%) and three patients (30.0%) aged < 65 years and ≥ 65 years during the course of treatment, respectively, leading to MRD negativity and treatment discontinuation.

Consolidation therapy was the first combination therapy with two or more agents or allogeneic transplantation, administered following the first‐line regimen, with or without ASCT. Consolidation therapy was administered to 80.6% and 20% of patients aged < 65 and ≥ 65 years, respectively.

Maintenance therapy consisted of either monotherapy or a second combination therapy (i.e., combination therapy incorporating second or subsequent agents) with two or three agents following ASCT or consolidation therapy. In maintenance therapy, conventional single‐agent regimens, including LEN or ixazomib (IXZ), were uncommon (< 65 years: 22.6% or 12.9%; ≥ 65 years: 10% each), with most patients receiving combination therapy. In some patients, a second or subsequent maintenance regimen was administered to maintain or further enhance the achieved response (Figure 1 ).

Primary Endpoint

The observation period of this study spanned from treatment discontinuation to death from any cause or last follow‐up, with a median of 34.7 months (range, 6.1–70.0).

Regarding the primary endpoint, the 2‐year TFS rate was 71.2% (95% CI, 54.0–83.0), with the median not reached (Figure 2 ); the 3‐year TFS rate was 67.9% (95% CI, 50.1–80.4). The MRD negativity rate 2 years after treatment discontinuation was analysed in 34 of 41 patients because only these patients had > 2 years of follow‐up (Table 2 ); 19 (55.9%) showed sustained MRD negativity. In two patients, MRD negativity was demonstrated by only one modality (BM or imaging), whereas in two patients, only BM‐MRD was positive. Maintenance therapy was resumed in one patient after discussion between the patient and the treating physician. In another patient, follow‐up PET/CT detected FDG uptake in the para‐aortic lymph nodes; despite no other findings indicative of myeloma progression, treatment was restarted per patient preference. Nine patients (22.0%) experienced clinical or paraprotein relapse within 2 years.

FIGURE 2 Treatment‐free survival. Among patients who reinitiated treatment, one did so due to MRD positivity alone, and another due to possible fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) uptake in …
FIGURE 2 Treatment‐free survival. Among patients who reinitiated treatment, one did so due to MRD positivity alone, and another due to possible fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) uptake in the para‐aortic lymph nodes on positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) prior to meeting the IMWG progression criteria. IMWG, International Myeloma Working Group.

TABLE 2
MRD status at 2 years after treatment discontinuation.
Note : Among the 41 patients, the analysis was conducted on 31 patients whose follow‐up exceeded 24 months. Abbreviations: BM, bone marrow; FDG, fluorodeoxyglucose; PET/CT, positron emission tomography/computed tomography.

MRD status at 2 years after treatment discontinuation, n (%)N = 34
Negative19 (55.9)
BM negative, imaging not evaluated1 (2.9)
BM not evaluated, imaging negative1 (2.9)
BM positive, imaging negative1 (2.9)
MRD not evaluated1 (2.9)
Retreatment for BM‐MRD positivity alone1 (2.9)
Retreatment for suspected FDG uptake on PET/CT1 (2.9)
Paraprotein relapse within 2 years5 (14.7)
Clinical relapse within 2 years4 (9.8)

OS and Treatment Interventions

The 3‐year OS rate was 97.3% (95% CI, 82.3–99.6), and the median OS was not reached. During the observation period, 12 patients required retreatment (Figure 1 and Table S3 ). The median time to events prompting retreatment was 11.6 months (range, 3.0–28.7), whereas the median time to treatment initiation was 16.7 months (range, 5.4–37.6). Among these 12 patients, paraprotein relapse, localised bone lesions and testicular plasmacytoma occurred in six, three and one patient, respectively; the testicular plasmacytoma appeared and enlarged 3 months after treatment discontinuation. Two patients restarted treatment without meeting the IMWG criteria for PD (BM‐MRD positivity alone or suspicious FDG uptake on PET/CT). Except for one patient, retreatment comprised combination therapy with three or more agents, most commonly isatuximab, carfilzomib and DEXA (IsaKd), followed by IXZ, LEN and DEXA (IRd). No patient received chimeric antigen receptor‐T cell (CAR‐T) therapy or bispecific antibodies in this treatment line.

The post‐treatment RFS was 40.0% at a median observation period of 15.9 months, with a median RFS of 13.1 months (Figure 3 ). Of the 12 patients, one experienced disease progression 8.4 months after retreatment, elected to transition to best supportive care at 9.5 months, and died of MM at 11.8 months. In this patient, FISH revealed t(4;14) at diagnosis and 1q amplification (seven copies) at relapse.

FIGURE 3 Relapse‐free survival among patients who reinitiated treatment. All retreatment regimens, except for one patient, consisted of combination therapy with three or more agen…
FIGURE 3 Relapse‐free survival among patients who reinitiated treatment. All retreatment regimens, except for one patient, consisted of combination therapy with three or more agents. The combination of isatuximab, carfilzomib, and dexamethasone (IsaKd) was the most frequently used regimen, followed by ixazomib, lenalidomide, and dexamethasone (IRd). No patients received chimeric antigen receptor‐T (CAR‐T) cell therapy or bispecific antibody therapy. Of the 12 patients, one died due to disease progression; this patient harboured t(4;14) at diagnosis, and 1q amplification (7 copies) emerged at relapse.

Factors Associated With TFS

Among the factors identified by univariate analyses as potential predictors, HRCAs, HDM/ASCT status, and the normal plasma cell proportion in the BM at treatment discontinuation were simultaneously entered into the Cox regression model (Table 3 ). Owing to the limited number of events, multivariate Cox analysis was restricted to these three clinically relevant covariates, and the results should be interpreted as exploratory. Of these three factors, HRCAs were associated with a poorer prognosis (hazard ratio [HR] 8.520, 95% CI 1.989–36.50, p = 0.0039), whereas a normal plasma cell proportion in the BM of ≥ 0.003% at treatment discontinuation was associated with a favourable prognosis (HR 0.130, 95% CI 0.030–0.565, p = 0.0066). These findings were also statistically significant in the Kaplan–Meier analysis (Figure 4a,b ). The interval from the confirmation of MRD negativity to treatment discontinuation was not associated with TFS (Figure 4c ).

TABLE 3
Analysis of factors associated with treatment‐free survival.
Note : ISS analysis was conducted for all patients except one whose ISS was not assessable. High‐risk cytogenetic abnormalities included t(4;14), t(14;16) and del(17p), and patients with unassessable cytogenetics were treated as negative for these abnormalities. Abbreviations: BMPCs, bone marrow plasma cells; CR, complete response; DOA, duration of administration; HDM/ASCT, high‐dose melphalan/autologous stem cell transplantation; IMiDs, immunomodulatory imide drugs; ISS, International Staging System; LD, lactate dehydrogenase; mAb, monoclonal antibodies; PIs, proteasome inhibitors; sCR, stringent CR; TD, treatment discontinuation.

Univariate analysisMultivariate analysis
Hazard ratio95% CIp valueHazard ratio95% CIp value
ISS, 2/3 vs. 14.6601.018, 21.3400.0474
ISS, 3 vs. 1/23.4070.9167, 12.6600.0672
High risk chromosomal abnormality, present vs. absent5.5441.641, 18.730.00588.5201.989, 36.500.0039
Karyotype, complex vs. normal/hyperdiploidy3.4540.9251, 12.90.0652
LD level at diagnosis, elevated vs. not elevated3.1550.9375, 10.620.0635
Time to achieve CR/sCR, ≥ 9 vs. < 9 months4.7411.032, 21.780.0454
Time to confirm MRD‐negativity, ≥ 30 vs. < 30 months3.5470.7716, 16.3000.1038
TD from CR achievement, ≥ 47 vs. < 47 months1.6130.4844, 5.3690.4361
HDM/ASCT, yes vs. no0.26310.0828, 0.83630.02360.4910.140, 1.7240.2669
DOA of PIs, ≥ 19 vs. < 19 months2.1180.6713, 6.6840.2005
Use of PIs, yes vs. no0.4290.0926, 1.9880.2795
DOA of IMiDs, ≥ 30 vs. < 30 months5.9400.7641, 46.170.0886
DOA of anti‐CD38 mAb, ≥ 21 vs. < 21 months2.5790.8145, 8.1640.1072
Use of anti‐CD38 mAb, yes vs. no1.8520.5000, 6.8590.3563
Normal BMPCs at TD, ≥ 0.003 vs. < 0.003%0.18730.0559, 0.6270.00660.1300.030, 0.5650.0066
FIGURE 4 Treatment‐free survival (TFS) according to subgroup. TFS, according to high‐risk cytogenetic status (a), proportion of normal plasma cells in the BM (b) and time from MRD…
FIGURE 4 Treatment‐free survival (TFS) according to subgroup. TFS, according to high‐risk cytogenetic status (a), proportion of normal plasma cells in the BM (b) and time from MRD negativity confirmation (c), are shown. For panel (a), high‐risk cytogenetic abnormalities included t(4;14), t(14;16) and del(17p), and patients with unassessable cytogenetics were treated as negative for these abnormalities. For panel (c), due to variability in the timing of MRD assessments in this study, the period does not precisely represent the time from treatment initiation to achieving MRD negativity. HRCA, high‐risk cytogenetic abnormalities.

Discussion

Here, we evaluated the feasibility of antimyeloma therapy discontinuation in patients who achieved MRD negativity, irrespective of disease status (ND or relapsed), treatment history, ASCT status, sustained CR duration or MRD negativity duration. BM‐MRD was assessed by multiparameter flow cytometry, which is widely used in routine clinical practice, with a cut‐off value of 10 −5 . The estimated 2‐ and 3‐year TFS rates were 71.2% and 67.9%, respectively, and the median TFS was not reached. The MRD negativity rate at 2 years after treatment discontinuation was 55.9% in the analysed cohort. At a median follow‐up of 34.7 months, retreatment was initiated in 29.3% of patients. Median time from treatment discontinuation to retreatment was 16.7 months, and RFS after retreatment was 40% at a median follow‐up of 15.9 months. HRCAs correlated with shorter TFS, whereas a BM normal plasma cell proportion of ≥ 0.003% at treatment discontinuation was associated with prolonged TFS.

Recently, several prospective trials have reported treatment discontinuation after sustained MRD negativity. In the IFM2009 trial, among patients who were MRD‐negative at the 10 −6 level by NGS, the 36‐month progression‐free survival (PFS) after maintenance completion was approximately 75% [ 13 ]. In the GEM2014MAIN trial, the 4‐year PFS of patients who sustained MRD negativity at a sensitivity of 2 × 10 −6 after 24 cycles of maintenance therapy was 82.8%, including those with high‐risk features [ 14 ]. In the MRD2STOP study, MRD was evaluated at the 10 −7 level using combined CD138‐positive cell sorting and NGS, and 80.9% of patients had MRD < 10 −7 at treatment discontinuation. The estimated 3‐year PFS was 92% for patients with MRD < 10 −7 and 49% for those with MRD ≥ 10 −7 [ 7 ]. In addition, Terpos et al. conducted a prospective trial evaluating the discontinuation of LEN maintenance therapy after BTZ‐based triplet or quadruplet (including DARA) induction therapy followed by ASCT. Treatment was subsequently discontinued upon confirmation of sustained BM‐MRD negativity at the 2 × 10 −6 level using NGF and I‐MRD negativity using PET. The 2‐ and 3‐year TFS rates were 91.6% and 75.8%, respectively. No statistically significant associations were observed between disease risk, treatment history and TFS [ 8 ]. Here, using a cut‐off of 10 −5 for MRD negativity, the TFS rates at 2 and 3 years were 71.2% and 67.9%, respectively. Considering both our results and those of previous studies, maintaining deep MRD negativity for a prolonged period appears to be essential for enabling safe therapy discontinuation. Our analysis demonstrated no significant TFS differences based on the duration between MRD confirmation and treatment discontinuation, likely due to patient heterogeneity resulting from the protocol, which enrolled individuals upon MRD negativity confirmation. Therefore, because MRD assessment timing varies, the period may not accurately reflect the time from treatment initiation to MRD negativity.

Notably, both our study and previous reports observed no significant treatment history differences, including ASCT, underscoring that achieving and sustaining MRD negativity may be feasible with individualised treatment strategies tailored to each patient's tolerability.

In our analysis, HRCAs were significantly associated with shorter TFS, in contrast to previous findings suggesting that MM risk does not affect TFS. This discrepancy may reflect the MRD negativity threshold, as we used 10 −5 compared with < 10 −6 in earlier studies. Thus, a 10 −5 threshold may be insufficient to mitigate high‐risk cytogenetics impact, and deeper response levels (e.g., < 10 −6 ) may be required in these patients. Indeed, the MASTER trial, which also used a cutoff of 10 −5 for MRD negativity, reported inferior PFS in patients with HRCA, particularly those with two or more abnormalities [ 15 ]. Furthermore, whereas prior studies focused on NDMM, our analysis included patients who achieved MRD negativity after second‐line or later therapy, which may have influenced the results. A retrospective analysis of 39 patients with MM, including RRMM, who discontinued treatment using a 10 −5 MRD cut‐off reported shorter TFS in the high‐risk group, which included patients with HRCAs [ 16 ].

To identify additional factors guiding treatment discontinuation in MRD‐negative patients, we evaluated immune‐related marker associations with TFS. The association between normal plasma cell proportion and MM prognosis has long been reported. Paiva et al. showed that, in a cohort receiving standardised therapy including ASCT, patients with > 5% normal plasma cells among BM plasma cells at diagnosis had significantly improved PFS and OS compared to those with ≤ 5% [ 17 ]. San Miguel et al. reported that, after treatment, patients with > 30% normal BM plasma cells had favourable PFS [ 18 ]. Although these studies used conventional flow cytometry, NGF allows more sensitive identification of both normal plasma cells and malignant myeloma cells [ 19 ]. The Marrow Plasma 10c assay used in our study also quantifies BM normal plasma cells [ 9 ]. Therefore, we assessed whether the normal plasma cell proportion at treatment discontinuation was associated with TFS. A normal plasma cell ratio of ≥ 0.003% correlated significantly with improved TFS in univariate and multivariate analyses. As noted above, deeper MRD negativity appears essential for favourable TFS; however, treatment strategies that also consider the preservation and recovery of normal immune function may represent an additional key factor.

Since the introduction of three major drug classes, cost‐effectiveness‐oriented treatment strategies have become increasingly important for MM management [ 20 , 21 , 22 ]. With improved MM prognosis, prolonged continuous therapy has created a substantial economic burden for patients and the healthcare system. In rapidly ageing and declining populations, appropriate healthcare resource allocation is urgent, particularly in countries with universal health insurance, such as Japan. Beyond implementing therapies that achieve deep MRD negativity early, identifying patient populations for whom treatment discontinuation may be feasible after MRD negativity is essential.

This study had some limitations. This was a single‐centre, single‐arm trial, and the sample size and follow‐up period were insufficient to draw definitive conclusions. Selection bias was also present, as patients without HRCAs tended to be more inclined to discontinue treatment. Furthermore, HRCAs were not comprehensively assessed in all cases, and some variables required to fully evaluate the current definition of high‐risk MM were not available in this study. In addition, only one patient in this cohort received a four‐drug combination regimen as first‐line therapy, which is currently regarded as the standard of care. Although no relationship was observed between TFS and the interval from treatment initiation to MRD negativity confirmation, MRD assessment timing varied among patients. Consequently, the sustained MRD‐negativity duration required to justify treatment discontinuation remains unclear. To guide decisions on treatment discontinuation, clarifying whether the duration of sustained MRD negativity or the balance between MRD and normal plasma cells is the critical factor is essential. Further investigations with larger cohorts and standardised assessment schedules are required.

In conclusion, treatment discontinuation may be feasible for some patients with MM who achieve and sustain MRD negativity, particularly those without HRCAs or with normal plasma cells in the BM. This approach may also help minimise treatment‐related toxicities and reduce the healthcare and economic burdens associated with therapy. Future studies with longer follow‐up and larger patient cohorts are warranted to establish clear criteria for identifying patients eligible for treatment discontinuation.

Author Contributions

All authors contributed to the study conception and design. Sample collection was performed by K. Sato, M.O., T.K., T.I. and N.T. K. Sato wrote the first draft of the manuscript, and all authors commented on earlier versions. All the authors have read and approved the final manuscript.

Funding

The authors have nothing to report.

Ethics Statement

This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Japanese Red Cross Medical Centre (Approval No. 1095; approved on March 18, 2020).

Consent

Written informed consent was obtained from all the patients in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki.

Conflicts of Interest

The authors declare no conflicts of interest.

Supporting information

Supplemental Figure 1 : jha270281‐sup‐0001‐figureS1.pdf

Supporting File 2 : jha270281‐sup‐0002‐SuppMat.docx

Acknowledgements

The authors thank all participants, physicians and staff involved in this study. We thank Editage (www.editage.com) for English‐language editing.

Data Availability Statement

Data are available upon request.

References

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ИП Урсолов Владлен Сергеевич

ИНН 500118482352 · ОГРНИП 314500117700049

Реквизиты и контакты