medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
Optimizing Latent Tuberculosis Treatment Strategies Among Immigrants From High-Burden Settings.
СтатьяПрепринтНазвание и аннотация: Перевод в очереди
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Tabackman Alexa, Karoly Meagan, Jacobson Karen R, Horsburgh C Robert, Linas Benjamin, Campbell Jeffrey, Acuña-Villaorduña Carlos, Sinha Pranay
Аннотация
IMPORTANCE: Tuberculosis preventive therapy is central to reducing tuberculosis, and foreign-born individuals account for most US tuberculosis cases. Current US Preventive Services Task Force guidance recommends testing and treating all foreign-born individuals regardless of age or time since immigration, yet the risks of disease progression and of treatment-related harm are not uniform across these groups.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness and health outcomes of tuberculosis infection treatment strategies among immigrants from high-burden settings, stratified by age and time since immigration.
DESIGN: Decision analytical model using individual-level microsimulation (Markov model) over a 30-year horizon, with deterministic and probabilistic (second-order Monte Carlo) sensitivity analyses. Costs and outcomes were discounted at 3%.
SETTING: US TB and primary care clinics (healthcare-sector perspective), using observed data from the Boston Medical Center/Boston Public Health Commission tuberculosis clinic and published literature.
PARTICIPANTS: A simulated cohort of 10 000 IGRA-positive, foreign-born adults from high tuberculosis incidence settings (excluding immunosuppressed individuals), modeled as recent or non-recent (immigrated 25 years earlier) immigrants at ages 35 and 65 years.
INTERVENTIONS: Rifampin daily for 4 months, isoniazid daily for 9 months, or no preventive therapy.
MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Costs, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), incident tuberculosis cases and deaths, treatment completion, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), with the proportion of simulations in which each strategy was optimal at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50 000 per DALY averted.
RESULTS: Among recent immigrants, rifampin was the dominant strategy at ages 35 and 65 years (optimal in 88.5% and 93.9% of simulations), yielding the fewest tuberculosis cases (119.44 and 82.31 per 10 000) and the highest treatment completion (71.4% and 67.7%). Among non-recent immigrants, rifampin remained the dominant strategy (optimal in 53.41% of simulations), followed by no treatment. In 65-year-olds who did not immigrate recently, no treatment was optimal in 94.7% of simulations. ICERs for treatment versus no treatment were unfavorable ($193 600 and $412 857 per DALY averted for rifampin and isoniazid, respectively, at age 65).
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this decision analytical model, rifampin was cost-effective for recent immigrants, whereas no treatment was optimal for older immigrants with remote arrival date. Age and time since immigration may help risk-stratify tuberculosis infection treatment and reduce unnecessary treatment in lower-risk populations.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness and health outcomes of tuberculosis infection treatment strategies among immigrants from high-burden settings, stratified by age and time since immigration.
DESIGN: Decision analytical model using individual-level microsimulation (Markov model) over a 30-year horizon, with deterministic and probabilistic (second-order Monte Carlo) sensitivity analyses. Costs and outcomes were discounted at 3%.
SETTING: US TB and primary care clinics (healthcare-sector perspective), using observed data from the Boston Medical Center/Boston Public Health Commission tuberculosis clinic and published literature.
PARTICIPANTS: A simulated cohort of 10 000 IGRA-positive, foreign-born adults from high tuberculosis incidence settings (excluding immunosuppressed individuals), modeled as recent or non-recent (immigrated 25 years earlier) immigrants at ages 35 and 65 years.
INTERVENTIONS: Rifampin daily for 4 months, isoniazid daily for 9 months, or no preventive therapy.
MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Costs, disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), incident tuberculosis cases and deaths, treatment completion, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), with the proportion of simulations in which each strategy was optimal at a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50 000 per DALY averted.
RESULTS: Among recent immigrants, rifampin was the dominant strategy at ages 35 and 65 years (optimal in 88.5% and 93.9% of simulations), yielding the fewest tuberculosis cases (119.44 and 82.31 per 10 000) and the highest treatment completion (71.4% and 67.7%). Among non-recent immigrants, rifampin remained the dominant strategy (optimal in 53.41% of simulations), followed by no treatment. In 65-year-olds who did not immigrate recently, no treatment was optimal in 94.7% of simulations. ICERs for treatment versus no treatment were unfavorable ($193 600 and $412 857 per DALY averted for rifampin and isoniazid, respectively, at age 65).
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this decision analytical model, rifampin was cost-effective for recent immigrants, whereas no treatment was optimal for older immigrants with remote arrival date. Age and time since immigration may help risk-stratify tuberculosis infection treatment and reduce unnecessary treatment in lower-risk populations.