Plasma proteomics mediate the association between degenerative joint diseases and dementia risk.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the association between degenerative joint diseases (DJD) and dementia risk and to identify potential proteomic mediators.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study using data from 500,805 participants in the UK Biobank. Three DJD diagnoses (osteoarthritis [OA], intervertebral disc degeneration [IVDD], and degenerative spinal diseases [DSD]) were identified from the clinical records. Dementia outcomes (all-cause dementia [ACD], Alzheimer's disease [AD], and vascular dementia [VaD]) were tracked over 14.45 years. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to assess DJD-dementia associations, adjusted for demographics, lifestyle, and comorbidities. Propensity score matching (PSM) was employed for validation. Plasma proteomic profiling of 2,923 proteins was performed to identify potential mediators, followed by causal mediation analysis.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 14.45 years, 9,884 participants developed ACD, including 4,404 with AD and 2,224 with VaD. After adjusting for covariates, the DJD group exhibited a significantly elevated risk of ACD (HR: 1.271, 95 % CI: 1.173-1.376) and VaD (HR: 1.587, 95 % CI: 1.323-1.903), but not AD (HR: 1.107, 95 % CI: 0.982-1.248). Subgroup analyses revealed significant effect modifications according to age, activity levels, and surgical procedures. PSM analyses confirmed the robustness of these associations. Proteomic analysis identified plasma proteins associated with both DJDs and ACD risk. Mediation analysis revealed that 18 proteins, including HAVCR1 (mediation proportion 52.6 %, 95 % CI: 39.1 %-78 %), GDF15 (22 %, 95 % CI: 14.5 %-46.8 %), and COL6A3 (14.3 %, 95 % CI: 7.7 %-28.4 %), significantly mediated the association between DJDs and ACD.

CONCLUSION

DJDs are independently associated with an increased risk of developing dementia. This correlation is mediated by systemic proteomic alterations. Our findings highlight inflammation and vascular dysfunction as central mechanisms, offering insights into risk stratification and therapeutic targets for preventing dementia.