Nephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association · 2025
Patients with membranous lupus nephritis form two clusters with different prognoses.
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Wang Zhipeng, Xiang Wang, Wang Yiqin, Yu Jianwen, Wang Xin, Ye Hongjian, Wu Haishan, Tang Ruihan, Xia Xi, Chen Wei
Аннотация
BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: Membranous lupus nephritis (MLN) traditionally includes class V (alone), and may be associated with other classes (III or IV). The clinical, therapeutic, and prognostic relevance of the classification remains controversial.
METHODS: A retrospective cohort of 412 MLN patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun-Yat Sen University was followed for a median of 65.68 (interquartile range 23.13-131.70) months. The primary outcomes were adverse renal events including all-cause death and ESRD. Phenotypes were identified and validated using unsupervised clustering analysis (K-means), principal component analysis and decision tree analysis.
RESULTS: Distinct clinical and pathological differences were noted between the traditional class IV + V and classes V + III and V, while class V + III and class V exhibited high similarities in clinical features and prognosis (P = 0.074). K-means clustering revealed high-risk (n = 180) and low-risk (n = 232) groups, with significant differences in adverse renal outcomes (9.2% vs 4.1%, P < 0.001). To recognize the high-risk profile of MLN patients, a decision tree based on Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI) score, hemoglobin, serum creatinine, traditional classification, and activity index of renal biopsy accurately clustered patients in the development (95.8% accuracy) and validation (87.1% accuracy) cohorts.
CONCLUSIONS: Two novel phenotypic clusters, more predictive than traditional classifications, enhance high-risk profile identification and prognostic accuracy.
METHODS: A retrospective cohort of 412 MLN patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun-Yat Sen University was followed for a median of 65.68 (interquartile range 23.13-131.70) months. The primary outcomes were adverse renal events including all-cause death and ESRD. Phenotypes were identified and validated using unsupervised clustering analysis (K-means), principal component analysis and decision tree analysis.
RESULTS: Distinct clinical and pathological differences were noted between the traditional class IV + V and classes V + III and V, while class V + III and class V exhibited high similarities in clinical features and prognosis (P = 0.074). K-means clustering revealed high-risk (n = 180) and low-risk (n = 232) groups, with significant differences in adverse renal outcomes (9.2% vs 4.1%, P < 0.001). To recognize the high-risk profile of MLN patients, a decision tree based on Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI) score, hemoglobin, serum creatinine, traditional classification, and activity index of renal biopsy accurately clustered patients in the development (95.8% accuracy) and validation (87.1% accuracy) cohorts.
CONCLUSIONS: Two novel phenotypic clusters, more predictive than traditional classifications, enhance high-risk profile identification and prognostic accuracy.