Clinical Validation of a Multiplex Urine Biomarker Assay for Surveillance of Recurrent Bladder Cancer.

PURPOSE: More than 50% of patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer experience recurrence, requiring lifelong surveillance with repeated cystoscopy. Given the invasive nature and cost of cystoscopy, accurate noninvasive tools are needed to support risk-adapted monitoring. We evaluated the ability of Oncuria-Monitor, a multiplex urine biomarker assay, to detect recurrent bladder cancer during surveillance.

PATIENTS AND

METHODS

Between February 2017 and August 2020, six medical centers in the United States and Japan prospectively enrolled 300 patients with a history of bladder cancer, generating 1,248 serial urine samples. Participants were divided into training and validation cohorts. At each surveillance visit over 2 years, urine samples were analyzed in a blinded manner using Oncuria-Monitor and BladderChek, alongside urine cytology. Test performance was compared with cystoscopy and histopathology-confirmed recurrence.

RESULTS

Recurrent bladder cancer was identified in 31% (93/300) of participants, with 143 total recurrences during follow-up, including 90 tumors in the validation cohort. In the validation cohort, Oncuria-Monitor achieved a sensitivity of 85.6% [95% confidence interval (CI), 78.1%-92.2%] and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 93% (95% CI, 89.2%-96.4%). In comparison, BladderChek demonstrated a sensitivity of 20.0% and an NPV of 88%, whereas urine cytology showed a sensitivity of 36.9% and an NPV of 91.6%. The number needed to evaluate to detect one recurrence was 3 for both cystoscopy and Oncuria-Monitor, compared with 15 for BladderChek and 8 for cytology.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large prospective longitudinal study, Oncuria-Monitor demonstrated clinically actionable performance, enabling a rule-out strategy that could safely reduce cystoscopy in approximately 25% of surveillance visits. These findings support a paradigm shift toward biomarker-guided, risk-adapted surveillance in bladder cancer that reduces unnecessary invasive procedures while maintaining oncologic safety.