Survival and predictors of mortality in patients with heart failure in the cardiology department of the Center Hospitalier Basse Terre in Guadeloupe: historical cohort study.

BACKGROUND

Despite the progress made in recent years in the treatment of Acute Heart Failure (AHF), its prognosis remains poor in the developing country. The objective of this study is to analyze the survival and predictors of mortality of patients with acute heart failure in the cardiology department of the Basse Terre Hospital Center in Guadeloupe.

METHODS

this was a historical cohort study carried out over a period from June 2021 to June 2022, targeting all acute heart failure patients undergoing cardiac monitoring in the cardiology department of the Basse Terre Hospital Center in Guadeloupe. Sociodemographic, clinical, biological characteristics and outcome (recovery or death) were studied. Survival was described using the Kaplan Meier method α = 5%.

RESULTS

this study involved 242 acute heart failure patients whose median age was 75 years and the majority were male (sex ratio 2 M/1F). Among these patients, 14.9% died, the most common cause of death was cardiogenic shock (52.8%). After adjustment, tobacco consumption (aHR: 2.90; 95% CI: 1.36-8.09), Chronic Kidney Disease (aHR: 2.52; 95% CI: 1.22-5.20), infection (aHR: 2.14; 95CI %: 1.99-4.58), hyponatremia (aHR: 1.90; 95% CI: 1.10-2.86), mitral regurgitation (aHR: 3.04; 95% CI: 1.98-9.47) and N-terminal pro Brain Natriuretic Peptide > 10000ng/ml (aHR: 2.57; 95% CI: 1.21-5.49) were independently associated with the risk of death in heart failure patients.

CONCLUSION

Acute heart failure leads to high mortality, mainly due to cardiogenic shock and factors of multiple organ failure.