Machine learning-integrated multi-omics risk prediction for pulmonary fungal infection in COPD and lung cancer: a transcriptomic and immune profiling study.

BACKGROUND

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and lung cancer are major risk factors for invasive pulmonary fungal infection (IPFI), carrying an attributable mortality of 30%-80%. Their coexistence further amplifies immunosuppression, while current diagnostic criteria remain inadequate for early risk identification.

METHODS

Transcriptomic data from the GEO dataset GSE296912 (scRNA-seq; 12,078 cells from normal and COPD lung tissue) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) bulk RNA-seq cohort (539 tumor and 59 normal samples) underwent differential expression and cross-omics integration analysis. Five machine learning models were constructed: logistic regression, SVM, random forest, XGBoost, and LASSO. Candidate genes were validated by qRT-PCR in A549 cells and THP-1-derived macrophages stimulated with heat-inactivated Aspergillus fumigatus conidia, a protocol selected to ensure BSL-2 biosafety compliance and isolate PAMP-mediated innate immune signaling. Model performance was evaluated using 5-fold stratified cross-validation with AUC, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis.

RESULTS

Single-cell transcriptomic analysis of 12,078 cells identified 14 distinct cell populations, with marked myeloid expansion and immune dysregulation in COPD lung tissue. Cross-omics integration with TCGA-LUAD data identified 1,145 shared genes (79 immune-related), converging on NF-κB, TLR4, and cytokine receptor signaling. The random forest model achieved excellent discriminative performance (5-fold CV AUC = 0.988), with Treg infiltration, TLR4, and MMP9 as the top predictors. qRT-PCR confirmed significant upregulation of all five candidate genes (DEFB4A, S100A8, IL-8, MMP9, and TLR4) in both A549 and THP-1 cells following fungal stimulation.

CONCLUSION

This multi-omics machine learning model integrating scRNA-seq and TCGA transcriptomic data demonstrates excellent discriminative performance (AUC = 0.988), with mechanistic convergence of NF-κB, TLR4, and oncogenic signaling pathways identified across shared immune gene signatures. In vitro qRT-PCR validation confirms the biological relevance of five key antifungal immune genes, providing a transcriptomic foundation for future prospective IPFI risk stratification in patients with COPD and lung cancer.