Journal of epidemiology · 2026
Secular Trends in the Prevalence of Small Vulnerable Newborns in Japan, 1997-2021.
СтатьяПоддержка исследования: вне правительства СШАПоддержка NIH: внешняя программаНазвание и аннотация: Перевод в очереди
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Yoshii Keisuke, Doi Hibiki, Igarashi Mizuho, Ogawa Kohei, Matsubara Keiko, Isayama Tetsuya, Kashimada Kenichi, Morisaki Naho
Аннотация
BACKGROUND: In 2023, a collaborative United Nations Children's Fund-World Health Organization group introduced the concept of small vulnerable newborns (SVNs) to improve the identification of newborns at increased risk of adverse outcomes and to guide more effective preventive strategies. However, global data on the prevalence of SVNs remains scarce. This study aimed to examine secular trends in the prevalence of SVNs and their three subgroups, namely term small for gestational age (SGA), preterm SGA, and preterm non-SGA, in the Japanese population.
METHODS: We analyzed data from vital statistics including livebirths and stillbirths between 1997 and 2021. Secular trends in the prevalence of SVNs and their subgroups were assessed. In addition, we conducted regional analyses to explore associations with the distribution of medical resources.
RESULTS: A total of 26,172,760 newborns were included. The overall prevalence of SVNs was 7.8% in 1997, peaked at 8.7% in 2005, and declined to 7.7% by 2021. This decline was primarily attributed to a reduction in term SGA births. In contrast, the prevalence of preterm SGA and preterm non-SGA remained largely unchanged. In 2021, the prevalence of term SGA, preterm SGA, and preterm non-SGA was 2.0%, 0.44%, and 5.3%, respectively. No significant association was found between the regional variation in the prevalence of SVNs and the distribution of medical resources.
CONCLUSION: The prevalence of SVNs in Japan has declined since 2005, mainly due to reduced term SGA births. Persistent rates of preterm subgroups highlight the ongoing burden of prematurity, underscoring the need for targeted strategies to improve neonatal outcomes.
METHODS: We analyzed data from vital statistics including livebirths and stillbirths between 1997 and 2021. Secular trends in the prevalence of SVNs and their subgroups were assessed. In addition, we conducted regional analyses to explore associations with the distribution of medical resources.
RESULTS: A total of 26,172,760 newborns were included. The overall prevalence of SVNs was 7.8% in 1997, peaked at 8.7% in 2005, and declined to 7.7% by 2021. This decline was primarily attributed to a reduction in term SGA births. In contrast, the prevalence of preterm SGA and preterm non-SGA remained largely unchanged. In 2021, the prevalence of term SGA, preterm SGA, and preterm non-SGA was 2.0%, 0.44%, and 5.3%, respectively. No significant association was found between the regional variation in the prevalence of SVNs and the distribution of medical resources.
CONCLUSION: The prevalence of SVNs in Japan has declined since 2005, mainly due to reduced term SGA births. Persistent rates of preterm subgroups highlight the ongoing burden of prematurity, underscoring the need for targeted strategies to improve neonatal outcomes.