Xanomeline and Trospium Chloride Versus Placebo for the Treatment of Schizophrenia: A Post Hoc Analysis of Number Needed to Treat, Number Needed to Harm, and Likelihood to Be Helped or Harmed.

PURPOSE: Describe xanomeline and trospium chloride efficacy and safety/tolerability for the treatment of schizophrenia using number needed to treat (NNT), number needed to harm (NNH), and likelihood to be helped or harmed (LHH).

METHODS

Categorical data were extracted from the three 5-week, randomized, double blind, placebo controlled EMERGENT-1, EMERGENT-2, and EMERGENT-3 clinical trials of xanomeline/trospium in adults with schizophrenia experiencing acute psychosis. Efficacy was assessed using the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS), Clinical Global Impression-Severity (CGI-S), and categorical response criteria. Safety and tolerability were assessed using rates of discontinuation and treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs). NNT, NNH, and LHH values were calculated for each individual study as well as pooled.

RESULTS

In data from the acute EMERGENT trials, NNT estimates were significant for xanomeline/trospium vs placebo for the pre-specified treatment response threshold of ≥30% reduction from baseline in PANSS total score at Week 5 (NNT=5 [95% CI, 4-8]). NNT estimates for response thresholds of ≥20% and ≥40% reduction from baseline in PANSS total score and ≥1- and ≥2-point decrease from baseline in CGI-S score were <10, indicating a clinically relevant therapeutic benefit of xanomeline/trospium over placebo. Estimates of NNH vs placebo for the most common TEAEs were >10, with the exception of nausea and vomiting; however, rates of discontinuations due to TEAEs of nausea, dyspepsia, or vomiting were low (NNH=49 [95% CI, 28-182]). LHH indicated an overall benefit of xanomeline/trospium vs placebo for all assessed outcomes. In indirect comparisons based on published data from trials of available antipsychotics approved for schizophrenia, xanomeline/trospium exhibited comparable or more robust NNT estimates vs placebo and was the least likely agent to be associated with weight gain or somnolence/sedation.

CONCLUSION

In the 5-week EMERGENT clinical trials, NNT, NNH, and LHH assessments demonstrated a favorable benefit-risk profile for xanomeline/trospium.

TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifiers: NCT03697252, NCT04659161, NCT04738123.