Decreases in Self-Reported ART Adherence Predict HIV Viremia Among Pregnant and Postpartum South African Women.

INTRODUCTION

Routine HIV viral load (VL) monitoring is recommended for patients on antiretroviral therapy, but frequent VL testing, required in pregnant and postpartum women, is often not feasible. Self-reported adherence can be valuable, but little is known about its longitudinal characteristics.

METHODS

We followed women living with HIV from antiretroviral therapy initiation in pregnancy through 18-month postpartum in Cape Town, South Africa, with repeated measurement of VL and self-reported adherence using a 3-item scale. We used generalized estimating equations [with results presented as odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)] to investigate the association between viremia and change in adherence over pairs of consecutive visits.

RESULTS

Among 2085 visit pairs from 433 women, a decrease in self-reported adherence relative to the previous visit on any of the 3 self-report items, or the combined scale, was associated with VL >50 and >1000 copies per milliliter. The best-performing thresholds to predict VL >50 copies per milliliter were a single-level decrease on the Likert response item "how good a job did you do at taking your HIV medicines in the way that you were supposed to?" (OR 2.08, 95% CI: 1.48 to 2.91), and a decrease equivalent to ≥5 missed doses or a one-level decrease in score on either of 2 Likert items (OR 1.34, 95% CI: 1.06 to 1.69).

CONCLUSIONS

Longitudinal changes in self-reported adherence can help identify patients with viremia. This approach warrants consideration in settings where frequent VL monitoring or other objective adherence measures are not possible.