Surgical versus nonsurgical treatment of acute Achilles ruptures in the high demand patient: Using decision analysis to help clinical decisions.

BACKGROUND

Recent literature suggests that functional treatment of acute non-insertional Achilles tendon ruptures yields outcomes (re-rupture and function) similar to those of surgery, but does not address the unique issues in treating high performance athletes or other high demand patients.

METHODS

Decision analysis was used to develop an estimate of outcome utility for both types of treatment using published Costs and Quality-Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) values. The expected value for either treatment was then calculated for high, intermediate, and normal demand patients, using the specific functional needs of the patients.

RESULTS

Nonoperative treatment is the preferred management for normal demand patients, while high and intermediate demand patients are more likely to experience better expected functional outcomes from surgery.

CONCLUSION

The combination of a decision analysis and expected value analysis provides evidence-based support for the existing intuitive recommendations that favor surgical treatment in elite athletes and other high demand patients.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.