Epidemiology of distal radius fractures in a geographically defined adult population.

Distal radial fractures are the most common adult orthopaedic fracture. We sought to determine whether the incidence of this injury is changing and identify trends in its occurrence. We analysed data for all adult patients presenting to University Hospitals of Leicester with a distal radial fracture from 2007-2016. Incidence rates were calculated using United Kingdom population data. Poisson regression techniques were used to analyse weekly, seasonal and annual variation in fracture incidence. There was no significant change in average age or incidence of fracture. Increased incidence was associated with inclement weather conditions. Younger patients more commonly sustain fractures on weekends. We predict a 23% rise in the number of fractures in the United Kingdom in the next 20 years. The incidence of fracture does not appear to be changing, although the number of fractures is growing. Weekly and seasonal trends are apparent. Level of evidence: III.