Early Prognostication After Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: Modified rCAST Score Incorporating Age and Brainstem Reflexes.

Background

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors demonstrate wide variation in neurological outcomes due to hypoxic-ischemic brain injury. Early prognostic stratification in the emergency department is essential to inform clinical decisions. This study aimed to improve the revised Cardiac Arrest Syndrome for Therapeutic hypothermia (rCAST) score by incorporating additional clinical variables and to evaluate its ability to predict poor neurological outcomes.

Methods

This multicenter observational study analyzed OHCA survivors treated with targeted temperature management (TTM) between October 2015 and December 2018 at 22 university-affiliated hospitals participating in the Korean Hypothermia Network prospective registry. The primary outcome was poor neurological status at one month, defined as a Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) score of 3-5. Independent predictors were identified using multivariable logistic regression and incorporated into a modified rCAST (mCAST) score.

Results

Among 881 included patients, age > 65 years (odds ratio [OR], 13.87; 95% confidence interval [CI], 7.38-26.08) and absence of brainstem reflexes (OR, 2.31; 95% CI, 1.29-4.12) were identified as independent predictors and added to the mCAST score. The mCAST demonstrated higher prognostic accuracy than the original rCAST (area under the curve [AUC], 0.849 vs. 0.823; p < 0.001). In the high-severity group, the mCAST identified a higher poor outcome rate (95.1% vs. 90.9%) while reducing the proportion of patients in this group (20.7% vs. 31.3%).

Conclusions

The mCAST score improves early prognostic accuracy during the immediate post-cardiac arrest period by incorporating age and brainstem reflexes and may offer refined risk stratification without compromising clinical feasibility.