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Intensive care medicine · 2025

Heterogenous treatment effect of neuromuscular blocking agents for moderate-to-severe ARDS: a post hoc Markov model re-analysis of the ACURASYS trial.

СтатьяРандомизированное исследованиеМногоцентровое исследованиеНазвание и аннотация: Перевод в очереди
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Brunini Michael, Forel Jean-Marie, Muracciole Xavier, Roch Antoine, Barbolosi Dominique, Papazian Laurent

Аннотация

PURPOSE: The beneficial effects of systematic cisatracurium administration observed in the ACURASYS randomized, multicenter, double-blinded trial may depend on patient-specific factors. This post hoc analysis aimed to explore whether the impact of cisatracurium on mortality varies with baseline characteristics.

METHODS: A Markov chain analysis was conducted using daily clinical states from inclusion to day 90: death (state 0), under mechanical ventilation (state 1), or weaned and alive at day 90 (state 2). Patient trajectories were modeled accordingly.

RESULTS: Among the 321 included patients, subgroup analysis following univariate analysis focused on 130 individuals under 60 years with non-fatal McCabe scores. Within this subgroup, cisatracurium administration and absence of vasopressor use significantly reduced the probability of remaining ventilated. Estimated survival increased therefore from 0.63 (placebo group, N = 62) to 0.93 (cisatracurium group, N = 68). In contrast, among patients with a rapidly or ultimately fatal prognosis according to McCabe score, the probability of survival did not differ substantially between the placebo and cisatracurium groups. Among patients with a PaO2:FiO2 ratio ≤ 100 mmHg at inclusion (N = 65), the estimated survival rate at day 90 was 0.93 in the cisatracurium arm compared with 0.63 in the placebo arm. For patients with a PaO2:FiO2 ratio > 100 mmHg at inclusion (N = 98), the corresponding survival rates were 0.92 and 0.63, respectively. In patients aged ≥ 60 years (N = 158), the daily probability of remaining mechanically ventilated was not influenced by any covariate, including the administration of cisatracurium. These results were confirmed by the performed simulations.

CONCLUSION: The systematic and short-term administration of cisatracurium in patients with moderate-to-severe ARDS appears to confer greater survival benefit in those with a higher baseline life expectancy. Further validation through retrospective and prospective studies is warranted.

Предметные рубрики MeSH

ИП Урсолов Владлен Сергеевич

ИНН 500118482352 · ОГРНИП 314500117700049

Реквизиты и контакты