Is the allergen-inhalation challenge predictive of the severity of seasonal asthmatic exacerbations?

Fifteen asthmatic patients sensitized to Parietaria pollen were studied. Before the pollen season they underwent an allergen-inhalation challenge which was preceded and followed by a methacholine-inhalation challenge. Pollen count, symptom score, and drug consumption were monitored daily throughout the study. A severity score was obtained by adding symptom score and drug consumption. Patients underwent a third methacholine challenge during the pollen season, after they had been exposed to a high atmospheric concentration of pollen. The severity score during the first period of the pollen season was significantly correlated with both the early and the late asthmatic responses to the allergen observed before the season (r2 = 0.50; P < 0.005). Bronchial sensitivity to methacholine was significantly increased both after allergen challenge and after seasonal exposure, but these increases correlated neither with each other nor with the severity score. We conclude that bronchial responses to experimental exposure to allergens, but not the changes in nonspecific airway responsiveness, can, in part, predict the severity of asthma exacerbation during the pollen season.