Hepatocellular carcinoma risk in hepatitis C stage-3 fibrosis after sustained virological response with direct-acting antivirals.
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Sánchez-Azofra María, Fernández Inmaculada, García-Buey María L, Domínguez-Domínguez Lourdes, Fernández-Rodríguez Conrado M, Mancebo Antonio, Bonet Lucía, Ryan Pablo, Gea Francisco, Díaz-Sánchez Antonio, García-Mayor Marian, Martín-Carbonero Luz, Castillo Pilar, Manzano María L, González-Moreno Leticia, Pulido Federico, Gutiérrez María L, Moreno José M, García-Amengual Irene M, Cuevas Guillermo, Guerrero Antonio, Rivero-Fernández Miguel, Portales María E, Montes María L, Olveira Antonio
Аннотация
METHODS: We performed a multicentre, ambispective, observational study of chronic hepatitis C patients with sustained virological response after treatment with direct-acting antivirals started between January and December 2015. Baseline stage 3 was defined in a two-step procedure: we selected patients with transient elastography values of 9.5-14.5 kPa and subsequently excluded those with nodular liver surface, splenomegaly, ascites or collaterals on imaging, thrombopenia or esophago-gastric varices. Patients were screened twice-yearly using ultrasound.
RESULTS: The final sample comprised 506 patients (median age, 57.4 years; males, 59.9%; diabetes, 17.2%; overweight, 44.1%; genotype 3, 8.9%; HIV coinfection, 18.4%; altered liver values, 15.2%). Median follow-up was 33.7 (22.1-39.1) months. Five hepatocellular carcinomas and 1 cholangiocarcinoma were detected after a median of 29.4 months (95% CI: 26.8-39.3), with an incidence of 0.47/100 patients/year (95% CI: 0.17-1.01). In the multivariate analysis, only males older than 55 years had a significant higher risk (hazard ratio 7.2 [95% CI: 1.2-41.7; P = .029]) with an incidence of 1.1/100 patients/year (95% CI: 0.3-2.8).
CONCLUSIONS: In a large, well-defined cohort of patients with baseline hepatitis C stage-3 fibrosis, the incidence of primary liver tumours was low after sustained virological response and far from the threshold for cost-effectiveness of screening, except in males older than 55 years.