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Journal of gastroenterology and hepatology · 2020

Analysis of factors associated with the prognosis of cirrhotic patients who were treated with tolvaptan for hepatic edema.

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Atsukawa Masanori, Tsubota Akihito, Takaguchi Koichi, Toyoda Hidenori, Iwasa Motoh, Ikegami Tadashi, Chuma Makoto, Nozaki Akito, Uojima Haruki, Hiraoka Atsushi, Fukunishi Shinya, Yokohama Keisuke, Tada Toshifumi, Kato Keizo, Abe Hiroshi, Tani Joji, Okubo Hironao, Watanabe Tsunamasa, Hattori Nobuhiro, Tsutsui Akemi, Senoh Tomonori, Yoshida Yuji, Okubo Tomomi, Itokawa Norio, Nakagawa-Iwashita Ai, Kondo Chisa, Arai Taeang, Michitaka Kojiro, Iio Etsuko, Kumada Takashi, Tanaka Yasushito, Takei Yoshiyuki, Iwakiri Katsuhiko

Аннотация

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The prognosis of cirrhotic patients with hepatic edema is poor. Although several short-term predictors of tolvaptan (novel diuretic agent) treatment for such patients have been reported, the factors related to long-term survival are still unclear.

METHODS: Among 459 patients with hepatic edema enrolled in a retrospective, multicenter collaborative study, we analyzed 407 patients who received tolvaptan.

RESULTS: Patients consisted of 266 men and 141 women, with the median age of 68 years (range, 28-93 years). The frequency of short-term responders to tolvaptan was 59.7% (243/407). In the Cox regression analysis, short-term response to tolvaptan, low average dosages of furosemide and spironolactone during tolvaptan treatment, Child-Pugh classification A and B, and absence of hepatocellular carcinoma were independent factors contributed to 1-year survival. The 1-year and long-term cumulative survival rates in short-term responders were significantly higher than those in non-responders (P = 0.011 and 0.010, respectively). Using a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, the optimal cut-off values of average daily dosages of furosemide and spironolactone for predicting 1-year survival were 19 and 23 mg/day, respectively. The long-term cumulative survival rates in patients who received a mean dosage of spironolactone < 23 mg/day during tolvaptan treatment were significantly higher than those receiving a mean dosage of ≥ 23 mg/day (P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS: The present study suggests that the short-term response to tolvaptan and low dosages of conventional diuretics during tolvaptan treatment might improve the 1-year and long-term survival rates in cirrhotic patients with hepatic edema.

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