Diabetes Risk Perception in Women with a Recent History of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus: A Secondary Analysis from a Belgian Randomized Controlled Trial (MELINDA Study).

Background/Objectives: To evaluate diabetes risk perception in women with prior gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) and prediabetes in early postpartum. Methods: Secondary analysis of a multi-center randomized controlled trial assessing the effectiveness of a mobile-based postpartum lifestyle intervention in women with prediabetes after GDM. Data were collected from the Risk Perception Survey for Developing Diabetes at baseline (6-16 weeks postpartum) and one year post-randomization. Logistic regression was used to analyze the difference between the intervention and control groups on diabetes risk estimation. Results: Among 165 women with prediabetes in early postpartum (mean age: 32.1 years, mean BMI: 27.3 kg/m2), 58.9% (96) adequately estimated their diabetes risk (moderate or high chance) at baseline. These women smoked less often [2.06% (2) vs. 10.3% (7), p = 0.034], reported less anxiety (11.6 ± 3.0 vs. 12.6 ± 3.5, p = 0.040), and reported fewer symptoms of depression [30.9% (21) vs. 15.6% (15), p = 0.023] compared to women who underestimated their risk. At one year, 58.3% (95) of all women adequately estimated their diabetes risk. In the intervention group, 50.6% (41) adequately estimated their risk at baseline, increasing to 56.8% (46) by the end of the intervention after one year (p = 0.638). In the control group, a higher proportion of women adequately estimated their risk at baseline [67.1% (55), (p = 0.039)], which decreased to 59.8% (49) at one year (p = 0.376), with no significant difference in risk perception between the groups at one year (p = 0.638). Conclusions: Almost 60% of this high-risk population adequately estimated their diabetes risk, with no significant impact of the lifestyle intervention on risk perception.