Natural history of progression of HPV infection to cervical lesion or clearance: analysis of the control arm of the large, randomised PATRICIA study.
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Ошибки и ограничения
История · было → стало
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Jaisamrarn Unnop, Castellsagué Xavier, Garland Suzanne M, Naud Paulo, Palmroth Johanna, Del Rosario-Raymundo Maria Rowena, Wheeler Cosette M, Salmerón Jorge, Chow Song-Nan, Apter Dan, Teixeira Julio C, Skinner S Rachel, Hedrick James, Szarewski Anne, Romanowski Barbara, Aoki Fred Y, Schwarz Tino F, Poppe Willy A J, Bosch F Xavier, de Carvalho Newton S, Germar Maria Julieta, Peters Klaus, Paavonen Jorma, Bozonnat Marie-Cecile, Descamps Dominique, Struyf Frank, Dubin Gary O, Rosillon Dominique, Baril Laurence, HPV PATRICIA Study Group
Аннотация
METHODS AND FINDINGS: Women aged 15-25 years were enrolled. A 6-month persistent HPV infection (6MPI) was defined as detection of the same HPV type at two consecutive evaluations over 6 months and clearance as ≥2 type-specific HPV negative samples taken at two consecutive intervals of approximately 6 months following a positive sample. The primary endpoint was CIN grade 2 or greater (CIN2+) associated with the same HPV type as a 6MPI. Secondary endpoints were CIN1+/CIN3+ associated with the same HPV type as a 6MPI; CIN1+/CIN2+/CIN3+ associated with an infection of any duration; and clearance of infection. The analyses included 4825 women with 16,785 infections (3363 women with 6902 6MPIs). Risk of developing a CIN1+/CIN2+/CIN3+ associated with same HPV type as a 6MPI varied with HPV type and was significantly higher for oncogenic versus non-oncogenic types. Hazard ratios for development of CIN2+ were 10.44 (95% CI: 6.96-15.65), 9.65 (5.97-15.60), 5.68 (3.50-9.21), 5.38 (2.87-10.06) and 3.87 (2.38-6.30) for HPV-16, HPV-33, HPV-31, HPV-45 and HPV-18, respectively. HPV-16 or HPV-33 6MPIs had ~25-fold higher risk for progression to CIN3+. Previous or concomitant HPV infection or CIN1+ associated with a different HPV type increased risk. Of the different oncogenic HPV types, HPV-16 and HPV-31 infections were least likely to clear.
CONCLUSIONS: Cervical infections with oncogenic HPV types increased the risk of CIN2+ and CIN3+. Previous or concomitant infection or CIN1+ also increased the risk. HPV-16 and HPV-33 have by far the highest risk of progression to CIN3+, and HPV-16 and HPV-31 have the lowest chance of clearance.