MedElevator Войти в исследования
← Поиск публикаций

DOI 10.1038/s41598-025-31376-5

Медицинская библиотека · Scientific reports · 2025

Mathematical modeling and neural network based fitting of HIV/AIDS data in the workingclass population case study from Ethiopia.

Sado Abdulsamad Engida, Duressa Gemechis File, Deressa Chernet Tuge

СтатьяПеревод в очереди

Аннотация

HIV/AIDS deeply affects society, forcing people to leave their jobs and family responsibilities. This not only impacts their lives but also has a negative effect on the economy. HIV/AIDS affects development and growth by lowering productivity, income, and poverty levels. This study examines the impact of HIV/AIDS on Ethiopia's workingclass population using mathematical and neural network-based modeling, aiming to develop an accurate predictive framework. A supervised DNN with sigmoid activation is trained on WHO data (2000-2023) to predict disease incidence and transmission. Numerical simulations show that utilizing feedforward DNN methods gives precise solutions for advanced epidemiological models. The model attained a prediction accuracy above 99% and revealed a gradual rise in HIV incidence among nonproductive individuals over two decades. Finally, the trend of HIV/AIDS infection in Ethiopia from 2024 to 2050 is forecasted. The full-blown AIDS and infected class population approaches zero. Based on our estimated parameters and numerical simulations, it is evident that the application of neural network methods marks a significant advancement in the field of epidemiological modeling.

Для цитирования: Sado Abdulsamad Engida, Duressa Gemechis File, Deressa Chernet Tuge. Mathematical modeling and neural network based fitting of HIV/AIDS data in the workingclass population case study from Ethiopia.. Scientific reports. 2025. DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-31376-5.

Предметные рубрики MeSH

Подготовка и перевод публикации
Обработка статьи · этапы, ошибки и управление
Загрузка состояния…

История · было → стало

Состояние обновляется каждые 5 секунд, пока блок открыт. Процент показывается только там, где известен объём работы. Пауза останавливает продолжение этапа; текущий запрос к источнику может завершиться.

Тип публикации указан по данным источника. Уровень доказательности автоматически не присваивается.