International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2023
Prediction of complications of pre-eclampsia using the fullPIERS high risk predictive model.
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Sharma Astha, Suri Jyotsna, Khanam Zeba, Pandey Divya, Bachani Sumitra, Sharma Anuradha
Аннотация
OBJECTIVE: To determine the predicted probability percentage of complications in women with pre-eclampsia using the Pre-eclampsia Integrated Estimate of Risk (fullPIERS) model within the first 24 h after admission and assess the model's predictive value for complications of pre-eclampsia.
METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study in which the fullPIERS model was applied to 256 pregnant women with pre-eclampsia within the first 24 h after admission. These women were then followed for 48 h to 7 days for maternal and fetal complications. Reciever operating characteristics (ROC) curves were generated to assess the performance of the fullPIERS model for adverse outcomes of pre-eclampsia.
RESULTS: Of the 256 women enrolled in the study, 101 women (39.5%) developed maternal complications, 120 women (46.9%) developed fetal complications, and 159 women (62.1%) developed both. With an area under the ROC curve of 0.843 (95% confidence interval 0.789-0.897), the fullPIERS model had good discriminating ability to predict complications at any time point between 48 h and 7 days after admission. The sensitivity and specificity of the model at a ≥5.9% cut-off value for predicting adverse maternal outcomes were 60% and 97%, respectively; they were 44% and 96%, respectively, for predicting combined fetomaternal complications with a cut-off value of 4.9%.
CONCLUSIONS: The fullPIERS model performs reasonably well in predicting adverse maternal and fetal outcomes in women with pre-eclampsia.
METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study in which the fullPIERS model was applied to 256 pregnant women with pre-eclampsia within the first 24 h after admission. These women were then followed for 48 h to 7 days for maternal and fetal complications. Reciever operating characteristics (ROC) curves were generated to assess the performance of the fullPIERS model for adverse outcomes of pre-eclampsia.
RESULTS: Of the 256 women enrolled in the study, 101 women (39.5%) developed maternal complications, 120 women (46.9%) developed fetal complications, and 159 women (62.1%) developed both. With an area under the ROC curve of 0.843 (95% confidence interval 0.789-0.897), the fullPIERS model had good discriminating ability to predict complications at any time point between 48 h and 7 days after admission. The sensitivity and specificity of the model at a ≥5.9% cut-off value for predicting adverse maternal outcomes were 60% and 97%, respectively; they were 44% and 96%, respectively, for predicting combined fetomaternal complications with a cut-off value of 4.9%.
CONCLUSIONS: The fullPIERS model performs reasonably well in predicting adverse maternal and fetal outcomes in women with pre-eclampsia.