Baseline BCR-ABL1 transcript type of e13a2 and large spleen size are predictors of poor long-term outcomes in chronic phase chronic myeloid leukemia patients who failed to achieve an early molecular response after 3 months of imatinib therapy.

We conducted this study to identify the factors for predicting poor outcomes in chronic myeloid leukemia patients who failed to achieve a 3-month early molecular response (EMR). Of the 413 newly diagnosed, chronic phase, chronic myeloid leukemia patients receiving imatinib (IM), 120 (29.1%) failed to achieve a 3-month EMR. With a median follow-up of 67.0 months, 39 patients continued IM treatment with at least complete cytogenetic response (CCyR), and 81 patients permanently discontinued IM treatment. The cumulative incidence rates of CCyR and major molecular response (MMR) by 3 years were 90.1 ± 3.9% and 53.7 ± 7.3%, respectively. After adjusting for potential factors, multivariate analyses showed that a transcript type of e13a2, compared with e14a2, and a larger spleen size were independent factors for failure of overall MMR. The predictive factors outlined in this study may provide valuable information for high-risk patients who would benefit from early decision-making regarding therapy change.