Prevalence and Determinants of Coronary Artery Calcification in Adults With Metabolic Syndrome: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) is a recognized risk factor for coronary artery calcification (CAC), a subclinical marker of atherosclerosis associated with elevated cardiovascular risk. However, the prevalence and determinants of CAC in individuals with MetS have not been comprehensively synthesized. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to estimate the pooled prevalence of CAC and identify associated factors among adults with MetS.

METHODS

A comprehensive search was conducted in PubMed, LILACS, Web of Science, Embase, Scopus, AJOL, and gray literature through December 2024, following PRISMA 2020 guidelines. Eligible studies included adults (≥ 18 years) with MetS, defined by established criteria, and reported CAC scores via validated CT imaging techniques. Observational studies and RCTs were included. Study quality was assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute checklist. Pooled estimates were derived using a random-effects model, and heterogeneity was assessed with the I2 statistic.

RESULTS

In total, 17 studies comprising 20 745 individuals were included. The pooled prevalence of CAC in adults with MetS was 39.8% (95% CI: 28.4%-52.5%), with wide variation across study design, geography, and imaging modality. Males had a higher CAC prevalence (RR: 2.00), and MetS was linked to increased CAC scores (SMD: 0.10) and odds of calcification (OR: 1.34-1.50). Subgroup analyses showed variability by region and CT modality. High CAC scores were associated with elevated cardiovascular event rates.

CONCLUSION

CAC affects ~40% of adults with MetS and is associated with higher cardiovascular risk. These findings support the integration of CAC screening in MetS management strategies.