Developing and validating multi-omics prediction models for late patient-reported dysphagia in head and neck radiotherapy.

Background and purpose. To investigate models developed using radiomic and dosiomic (multi-omics) features from planning and treatment imaging for late patient-reported dysphagia in head and neck radiotherapy.Materials and methods. Training (n = 64) and testing (n = 23) cohorts of head and neck cancer patients treated with curative intent chemo-radiotherapy with a follow-up time greater than 12 months were retrospectively examined. Patients completed the MD Anderson Dysphagia Inventory and a composite score ≤60 was interpreted as patient-reported dysphagia. A chart review collected baseline dysphagia and clinical factors. Multi-omic features were extracted from planning and last synthetic CT images using the pharyngeal constrictor muscle contours as a region of interest. Late patient-reported dysphagia models were developed using a random forest backbone, with feature selection and up-sampling methods to account for the imbalanced data. Models were developed and validated for multi-omic feature combinations for both timepoints.Results. A clinical and radiomic feature model developed using the planning CT achieved good performance (validation: sensitivity = 80 ± 27% / balanced accuracy = 71 ± 23%, testing: sensitivity = 80 ± 10% / balanced accuracy = 73 ± 11%). The synthetic CT models did not show improvement over the plan CT multi-omics models, with poor reliability of the radiomic features on these images. Dosiomic features extracted from the synthetic CT showed promise in predicting late patient-reported dysphagia.Conclusion. Multi-omics models can predict late patient-reported dysphagia in head and neck radiotherapy patients. Synthetic CT dosiomic features show promise in developing successful models to account for changes in delivered dose distribution. Multi-center or prospective studies are required prior to clinical implementation of these models.