FIB-4 and APRI as Predictive Factors for Short- and Long-Term Survival in Patients with Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Stent Shunts.

(1)

Background

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is a standard therapy for portal hypertension. We aimed to explore the association of established baseline scores with TIPS outcomes. (2)

Methods

In total, 136 liver cirrhosis patients underwent TIPS insertion, mainly to treat refractory ascites (86%), between January 2016 and December 2019. An external validation cohort of 187 patients was chosen. (3)

Results

The majority of the patients were male (62%); the median follow-up was 715 days. The baseline Child—Turcotte−Pugh stage was A in 14%, B in 75% and C in 11%. The patients’ liver-transplant-free (LTF) survival rates after 3, 12 and 24 months were 87%, 72% and 61%, respectively. In the univariate analysis, neither bilirubin, nor the international normalized ratio (INR), nor liver enzymes were associated with survival. However, both the APRI (AST-to-platelet ratio index) and the FIB-4 (fibrosis-4 score) were associated with LTF survival. For patients with FIB-4 > 3.25, the hazard ratio for mortality after 2 years was 3.952 (p < 0.0001). Liver-related clinical events were monitored for 24 months. High FIB-4 scores were predictive of liver-related events (HR = 2.404, p = 0.001). Similarly, in our validation cohort, LTF survival was correlated with the APRI and FIB-4 scores. (4)

Conclusions

Well-established scores that reflect portal hypertension and biochemical disease activity predict long-term outcomes after TIPS and support clinical decisions over TIPS insertion.