Cervical phosphorylated insulin-like growth factor binding protein-1 test for the prediction of preterm birth: a systematic review and metaanalysis.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the accuracy of the cervical phosphorylated insulin-like growth factor binding protein-1 (phIGFBP-1) test to predict preterm birth in women with and without symptoms of preterm labor through the use of formal methods for systematic reviews and metaanalytic techniques.

DATA SOURCES: PubMed, Embase, Cinahl, Lilacs, and Medion (all from inception to June 30, 2015), reference lists, conference proceedings, and Google scholar.

STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Cohort or cross-sectional studies that reported on the predictive accuracy of the cervical phIGFBP-1 test for preterm birth.

STUDY APPRAISAL AND SYNTHESIS

METHODS

Two reviewers independently selected studies, assessed the risk of bias, and extracted the data. Summary receiver-operating characteristic curves, pooled sensitivities and specificities, and summary likelihood ratios were generated.

RESULTS

Forty-three studies met the inclusion criteria, of which 15 provided data on asymptomatic women (n = 6583) and 34 on women with an episode of preterm labor (n = 3620). Among asymptomatic women, the predictive accuracy of the cervical phIGFBP-1 test for preterm birth at <37, <34, and <32 weeks of gestation was minimal, with pooled sensitivities and specificities and summary positive and negative likelihood ratios ranging from 14% to 47%, 76% to 93%, 1.5 to 4.4, and 0.6 to 1.0, respectively. Among women with an episode of preterm labor, the test had a low predictive performance for delivery within 7 and 14 days of testing, and preterm birth at <34 and <37 weeks of gestation with pooled sensitivities and specificities and summary positive and negative likelihood ratios that varied between 60% and 68%, 77% and 81%, 2.7 and 3.5, and 0.4 and 0.5, respectively. A negative test result in women with an episode of preterm labor had a low to moderate accuracy to identify women who are not at risk for delivering within the next 48 hours (summary negative likelihood ratio of 0.28 in all women and 0.23 in women with singleton gestations).

CONCLUSION

Cervical phIGFBP-1 has the potential utility to identify patients with an episode of preterm labor who will not deliver within 48 hours. However, its overall predictive ability for the identification of symptomatic and asymptomatic women at risk for preterm birth is limited.