Are all successful renal transplants really successful?

We previously described a small group of renal transplant recipients considered to have successful allografts statistically, but who did not benefit clinically. These were patients in whom the grafts survived greater than 6 months but less than 3 years. This expanded study evaluates 179 consecutive renal transplant recipients divided into three groups. Group 1 (n = 18), group 2 (n = 41), and group 3 (n = 120) have patients with graft survival less than 6 months, between 6 months and 3 years, and greater than 3 years, respectively. Mean age, cause of renal failure, HLA match, and immunosuppressive regimen were not statistically different in any group. The number of acute rejection episodes, number of hospitalizations, and number and seriousness of complications were significantly greater in group 2 patients compared with the other groups. Patients in group 2 experienced five times the number of acute rejections (P < 0.0001), three times the number of hospitalizations (P < 0.0001), and two times the number of complications (P < 0.0001) compared with group 3 patients. In conclusion, those transplant recipients whose grafts survived longer than 6 months but less than 3 years were the most unfortunate. They experienced repeated and serious complications and spent many days in the hospital at great expense. A study with more sensitive methods of detecting presensitization might impact on graft performance in the future.