Secular Trends in Outcomes and Impact of Novel Oral Anticoagulants in Atrial Fibrillation-Related Acute Ischemic Stroke.
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Lee Minwoo, Lee Byung-Chul, Yu Kyung-Ho, Oh Mi-Sun, Kim Beom Joon, Kim Jun Yup, Kang Jihoon, Lee Keon-Joo, Kim Do Yeon, Park Jong-Moo, Kang Kyusik, Park Tai Hwan, Lee Kyung Bok, Hong Keun-Sik, Park Hong-Kyun, Cho Yong-Jin, Kim Dong-Eog, Lee Soo Joo, Kim Jae Guk, Lee Jun, Cha Jae-Kwan, Kim Dae-Hyun, Kim Joon-Tae, Choi Kang-Ho, Choi Jay Chol, Sohn Sung-Il, Hong Jeong-Ho, Lee Sang-Hwa, Kim Chulho, Shin Dong-Ick, Yum Kyu Sun, Lee Juneyoung, Lee Ji Sung, Gorelick Philip B, Bae Hee-Joon, CRCS-K Investigators
Аннотация
METHODS: We identified patients with AIS and AF between January 2011 and December 2019 using a multicenter stroke registry. Annual rates of NOAC prescriptions and clinical events within 1 year were evaluated. The primary outcome was a composite of recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction, and all-cause mortality. To assess the mediation effect of NOACs on the relationship between the calendar year and these outcomes, we used natural effect models and conducted exposure-mediator, exposure-outcome, and mediator-outcome analyses using multivariable regression models or accelerated failure time models, adjusting for potential confounders.
RESULTS: Among the 12 977 patients with AF-related AIS, 12 500 (average age: 74.4 years; 51.3% male) were analyzed after excluding cases of valvular AF. Between 2011 and 2019, there was a significant decrease in the 1-year incidence of the primary composite outcome from 28.3% to 21.7%, while the NOAC prescription rate increased from 0% to 75.6%. A 1-year increase in the calendar year was independently associated with delayed occurrence of the primary outcome (adjusted time ratio, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.07-1.14]) and increased NOAC prescription (adjusted odds ratio, 2.20 [95% CI, 2.14-2.27]). Increased NOAC prescription was associated with delayed occurrence of the primary outcome (adjusted time ratio, 3.82 [95% CI, 3.17 to 4.61]). Upon controlling for NOAC prescription (mediator), the calendar year no longer influenced the primary outcome (adjusted time ratio, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.94-1.00]). This suggests that NOAC prescription mediates the association between the calendar year and the primary outcome.
CONCLUSIONS: Our study highlights a temporal reduction in major clinical events or death in Korean patients with AF-related AIS, mediated by increased NOAC prescription, emphasizing NOAC use in this population.