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BJOG : an international journal of obstetrics and gynaecology · 2021

Development and validation of a prediction model for bothersome stress urinary incontinence after prolapse surgery: A retrospective cohort study.

СтатьяНазвание и аннотация: Перевод в очереди
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Oh Sumin, Lee Sungyoung, Hwang Woo Yeon, Suh Dong Hoon, Jeon Myung Jae

Аннотация

OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a prediction model for bothersome stress urinary incontinence after prolapse surgery and to compare it with an existing clinical prediction model (CUPIDO model).

DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING: Two tertiary hospitals in South Korea.

POPULATION: A total of 1142 patients who underwent prolapse surgery with or without a concomitant midurethral sling.

METHODS: To construct a prediction model, we performed logistic regression using both exhaustive and stepwise variable selection, validating the model both internally and externally.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Bothersome stress urinary incontinence defined as the presence of bothersome symptoms of stress urinary incontinence and/or subsequent continence procedure one year after surgery.

RESULTS: Postoperative bothersome stress urinary incontinence occurred in 10% of patients. A model containing six predictors (age, diabetes mellitus, subjective urinary incontinence, prolapse reduction stress test result, type of prolapse surgery, and a concomitant midurethral sling) showed excellent performance for predicting bothersome stress urinary incontinence (area under the curve 0.74, 95% confidence interval 0.62-0.86) and outperformed the CUPIDO model (area under the curve 0.63, 95% confidence interval 0.49-0.76; DeLong's test P = 0.014).

CONCLUSIONS: This prediction model might be a useful tool to guide patient decision making regarding a concomitant continence procedure at the time of prolapse surgery. The predictive value of this model needs to be validated further in cohorts with different characteristics.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: The proposed prediction model for bothersome stress urinary incontinence after prolapse surgery outperforms an existing model.

Предметные рубрики MeSH

ИП Урсолов Владлен Сергеевич

ИНН 500118482352 · ОГРНИП 314500117700049

Реквизиты и контакты