Primary Incidence of Hematological Malignancies in Saint Petersburg in 1990–2011 and Prognosis till 2021

Background & Aims. Assessment of the incidence and dynamics of hematopoietic and lymphoid tissue malignancies is caused by the need in rational planning of hematological care, identification of risk factors in specific areas, and justification of prevention programs. Methods. This paper analyzes the incidence and dynamics of the malignancies among the population of Saint Petersburg over the period from 1990 till 2011 and gives prognosis till 2021. Data from the Information Analysis Center of the Department of Public Healthcare under the Saint Petersburg Government and from Petrostat, a population cancer register (Saint Petersburg), were used. Besides, the paper analyzes materials of official reports Results of Activities in the Field of Public Healthcare of Saint Petersburg over the period from 2012 till 2013 and On Sanitary and Epidemiological Well-Being of Saint Petersburg Population over the period from 2010 till 2013, as well as data from the Federal State Statistics Service on the incidence of hematological malignancies in Russia. The sampled population was 19,456. Results. The incidence of hematologic malignancies in Saint Petersburg is higher than that in Moscow, Russia and a number of other areas, and the extent of their occurrence among men is higher as compared to women. A steady growth of their incidence rate throughout the period under review has been revealed, with a maximum increasing rate in the working age. Conclusion. According to the prognosis, by 2021, the incidence of hematopoietic and lymphoid tissue malignancies in Saint Petersburg will increase by 29.7 %. The findings suggest the increased need in specialized hematological care and its availability, and more efficient use of available resources.