m+Medelevator.RU
← Поиск публикаций
Epidemics · 2026

The impact of ambiguously reported epidemiological parameters for infectious disease modelling and recommended best practices.

Редакционная статьяНазвание и аннотация: Перевод в очереди
Обработка статьи · этапы, ошибки и управление
Загрузка состояния…

История · было → стало

Состояние обновляется каждые 5 секунд, пока блок открыт. Процент показывается только там, где известен объём работы. Пауза останавливает продолжение этапа; текущий запрос к источнику может завершиться.

Cuartero Carmen Tamayo, Lambert Joshua W, Cuomo-Dannenburg Gina, Fitzner Julia, Ndumbi Patricia, Rice Chloe, Saulo Dina, Waddell Lisa, Azam James M, Doohan Patrick, Hicks Joseph T, McCain Kelly, Morgenstern Christian, Naidoo Tristan M, Ruybul-Pesántez Shazia, Rawson Thomas, Santoni Cosmo, Unwin H Juliette T, EpiParameter Workshop Attendees, Kucharski Adam, Cori Anne, Bhatia Sangeeta, McCabe Ruth

Аннотация

Epidemiological parameters characterise the natural history, transmission and severity of a pathogen and are necessary to understand the spread of infectious diseases. These parameters underpin our ability to quantify and respond to disease outbreaks. Parameters can be estimated from observations using a range of methods and are often reported in varied ways throughout the literature. These parameter estimates constitute essential inputs to infectious disease models used to quantify and project disease spread and burden, and assess intervention impact. Hence, any incompleteness or ambiguity in reported parameter estimates can have downstream consequences on the inferences drawn from the models that use these estimates. We summarise common issues with incomplete or ambiguous reporting of epidemiological parameter estimates and illustrate the impact through five case studies. Specifically, we show that in many instances, misinterpreting parameters reported in the literature can lead to biased conclusions that mislead subsequent public health responses. Additionally, we provide recommendations on how to clearly communicate common epidemiological parameter estimates consistently and reproducibly, to maximise their secondary use and comparison, in turn minimising erroneous extraction from the literature and application in epidemiological analysis.

ИП Урсолов Владлен Сергеевич

ИНН 500118482352 · ОГРНИП 314500117700049

Реквизиты и контакты