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DOI 10.1073/pnas.2533193123

Медицинская библиотека · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026

Social dynamics of AI adoption in parents' educational decisions.

Bursztyn Leonardo, Imas Alex, Jiménez-Durán Rafael, Leonard Aaron, Roth Christopher

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Аннотация

When adopting a performance-enhancing technology offers short-run relative advantages, competitive pressure can drive diffusion even if most adopters would prefer a collective ban. We study this dynamic in the context of unrestricted AI tools for teenagers' education. In preregistered, incentive-compatible experiments with approximately 2,000 parents in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, we elicit willingness to pay for a three-month premium subscription to a leading general-purpose AI platform. Demand increases steeply with the share of other teenagers using AI: Moving perceived peer take-up from 20% to 80% raises willingness to pay by more than 60%. We then test whether information about emerging evidence on potential downstream skill effects changes behavior. Risk information substantially shifts incentivized beliefs about longer-run impacts but has little effect on individual demand, yet it strongly increases support for school-level restrictions. Follow-up experiments show that peer-adoption information does not significantly shift perceived AI quality, the importance parents assign to core skills, or support for bans, pointing to social pressure rather than social learning as the primary channel. The results reveal a rat-race dynamic in which individual adoption responds to peers even as collective preferences shift toward restriction.

Для цитирования: Bursztyn Leonardo, Imas Alex, Jiménez-Durán Rafael, Leonard Aaron, Roth Christopher. Social dynamics of AI adoption in parents' educational decisions.. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 2026. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2533193123.

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