Reconstruction-aware urban crime analytics from incomplete judicial records using heterogeneous graph temporal imputation.

INTRODUCTION

Incomplete judicial records constrain reliable crime analytics because missing attributes, heterogeneous case descriptions, mixed variable types, and imbalanced charge distributions reduce their analytical value. This study developed a reconstruction-aware framework for drug-crime charge classification from incomplete judicial records.

METHODS

Drug-related judicial documents from Chengdu, China, covering 2014-2021 were screened, cleaned, and converted into structured person-level observations. The final dataset comprised 12,620 valid documents and 15,184 observations with 16 structured features. A Heterogeneous Graph Convolution Temporal Autoencoder (HetGConv-TAE) was developed to jointly model heterogeneous case-attribute relations and temporal changes in case composition. Performance was evaluated under 10%, 20%, and 30% controlled missingness, followed by XGBoost charge classification and SHAP interpretation.

RESULTS

HetGConv-TAE achieved the best mean reconstruction performance across conventional, static graph, temporal, and relational graph baselines. XGBoost trained on HetGConv-TAE reconstructed data achieved weighted F1 scores close to 80% and ROC-AUC values above 90%. SHAP analysis identified drug weight, place category, and administrative district as the most influential predictors across charge categories.

DISCUSSION: Combining label-excluded heterogeneous graph reconstruction, temporal encoding, downstream classification, and interpretable analysis improves the analytical usefulness of incomplete judicial archives. The framework is intended to support data-quality assessment and aggregate public-safety research rather than automated legal decision-making.