[Genetic analysis of the structure of the predisposition to diabetes mellitus. II. The prevalence, morbidity and heritability of diabetes mellitus].

Prevalence of diabetes mellitus (D.M.) was estimated in several Moscow districts. The prevalence increases with the age from 0.073 in males and 0.085% in females at the age of 16-19 yrs to 4.9 in males and 6.2% in females at the age of 75 yrs and older. The overall prevalence of D.M. was 1.12%. The morbidity risks have the same patterns of increase: from 0.007 and 0.008% at the age of 0-4 yrs to 1.6 and 2.7% at the age of 75 yrs and older in males and females, respectively. The values of "cumulative" morbidity risk, for the population living long enough, derived from the estimates of age-specific morbidity risks were 6.57 for males and 11.93% for females. The estimate of correlation between first-degree relatives at onset-age of D.M. was 0.307. Accounted for the age-at-onset of the probands and for current ages of siblings, the estimates of recurrence risks, i.e. the probability to develop D.M. for siblings living long enough, were: 27.28 for sisters of the male-probands, 21.59 for sisters of the female-probands, 19.28 for brothers of male-probands and 9.62% for brothers of the female-probands. Thus, the family distribution of D.M., according to the sex of the probands and that of their relatives corresponds to the multifactorial model of inheritance for the diseases with sex-specific thresholds. The estimates of correlation in liability and that of heritability of D.M. calculated from the data on sibs, were 0.284 +/- 0.0351 and 0.568 +/- 0.0702, respectively. The data obtained show that hereditary factors play an essential role in the development of D.M. These results are of a practical interest for genetic counselling, as well as for establishing the preventive measures in the Public Health Service.