Analytical and Clinical Evaluation of the STANDARD M10 Arbovirus Panel for Dengue Detection, Serotyping, and Multiplex Arboviral Screening in the Americas.

Background/

Objectives

Arboviruses including dengue virus (DENV), Zika virus (ZIKV), chikungunya virus (CHIKV), yellow fever virus (YFV), and West Nile virus (WNV) co-circulate across the Americas, generating overlapping febrile syndromes that challenge etiological diagnosis based solely on clinical criteria. Cartridge-based multiplex molecular platforms offer potential for decentralized testing in hyperendemic settings, yet independent real-world evaluations of their clinical and analytical performance remain limited.

Methods

A retrospective two-phase analytical study was conducted. Phase 1 assessed clinical diagnostic accuracy for dengue using 163 de-identified serum samples classified using a composite reference standard consisting of Panbio NS1 ELISA reactivity (≥11 Panbio units) combined with compatible clinical and epidemiological data, operationalized in accordance with the PAHO 2023 laboratory confirmation algorithm for dengue; RT-qPCR was not routinely available for all archived samples, and reported sensitivity should therefore be interpreted as a conservative lower-bound estimate; Phase 2 evaluated analytical sensitivity across all eight panel targets using characterized arboviral reference strains in serial dilution experiments, with reference RT-qPCR assays as the comparator; this phase was incorporated to characterize detection thresholds for targets not represented by clinical specimens.

Results

In Phase 1, the M10 demonstrated sensitivity of 96.0% (96/100), specificity of 100% (63/63), overall accuracy of 97.5%, and near-perfect agreement with the reference standard (Cohen's κ = 0.95). DENV-3 was the predominant serotype (74/96; 77.1%), followed by DENV-1 (16.7%) and DENV-4 (6.3%); DENV-2 was not detected. In Phase 2, operational LoDs (defined as the lowest concentration yielding a detectable Ct in all triplicate reactions for the RT-qPCR, and from a single cartridge per dilution point for the STANDARD M10) were equivalent or superior to reference RT-qPCR for six targets (DENV-1, DENV-3, DENV-4, ZIKV, WNV, YFV; range 1-5 PFU/mL), while DENV-2 and CHIKV showed 20-fold higher operational LoDs (20 PFU/mL vs. 1 PFU/mL for the reference RT-qPCR); formal LoD95 estimates were not determined.

Conclusions

The STANDARD M10 Arbovirus Panel shows high clinical accuracy for dengue and adequate analytical sensitivity for most targets, supporting its use as a complementary decentralized molecular tool. Reduced sensitivity for DENV-2 and CHIKV and the absence of formal LoD95 estimates remain key limitations to be addressed in future validation studies.