How reactive is water at the nanoscale and how to control it?

Nanoconfined water plays a key role in nanofluidics, electrochemistry, and catalysis, yet its reactivity remains a matter of debate. Prior studies have reported both enhanced and suppressed water self-dissociation relative to the bulk, but without a consistent explanation. Here, using enhanced sampling molecular dynamics with machine-learned potentials trained at first-principles accuracy, we investigate dissociation behavior in water confined within two-dimensional slit pores and nanodroplets, using graphene and hexagonal boron nitride as model materials. We find that reactivity is extremely sensitive to water density, geometry, and surface chemistry, among other factors. Despite this complexity, we show that chemical potential, together with interfacial interactions, governs dissociation trends and explains the variability observed in prior studies. Within this framework, when confined water is compared to the bulk at equivalent chemical potential, corresponding to thermodynamic equilibrium with a bulk reservoir, its reactivity remains essentially unchanged; rather, differences arise when the systems are compared at different chemical potentials or under distinct interfacial conditions. This thermodynamic perspective reconciles previous contradictions and reveals how nanoscale environments can drastically shift water reactivity. Our findings provide molecular-level insight and offer a design lever for modulating water chemistry at the nanoscale.