Prognosis of early-stage HFpEF in the community-dwelling elderly: The Northern Shanghai Study.

OBJECTIVE

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a growing concern among the elderly population, significantly impacting morbidity and mortality rates. This study aimed to screen and investigate the characteristics and prognosis of early-stage HFpEF in the elderly.

METHODS

A total of 1789 community-dwelling individuals aged over 65 from northern Shanghai were enrolled. According to American Heart Association (AHA) guidelines, participants were classified into four groups: HFpEF stage 0, HFpEF stage A, HFpEF stage B and HFpEF stage C. Major endpoints included major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), all-cause death and cardiovascular death.

RESULTS

After a mean follow-up period of 7.10 ± 1.27 years, 1623 elderly subjects were included [HFpEF stage 0 (10.3%), HFpEF stage A (16.3%), HFpEF stage B (60.6%) and HFpEF stage C (12.8%)]. Patients with HFpEF stage A, HFpEF stage B and HFpEF stage C exhibited more MACEs than those in HFpEF stage 0 (P < 0.01). Patients with HFpEF stage C had a significantly higher cardiovascular (P < 0.001) and all-cause death ratio (P < 0.01). With HFpEF stage 0 as a reference, the increases in MACEs were significantly associated with HFpEF stage A [hazard ratio (HR): 2.97, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.13, 7.82), P < 0.05], HFpEF stage B [HR: 2.69, 95% CI (1.09, 6.64), P < 0.05] and HFpEF stage C [HR: 4.86, 95% CI (1.88, 12.59), P < 0.01] in the Cox regression analysis. Our finding remains unaltered in the sensitivity analysis, with no interaction for effectiveness.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with those with HFpEF stage 0, patients with HFpEF, whether in stage B or C, exhibit significantly higher cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in the elderly. This study underscores the importance of early-stage HFpEF screening, particularly in older, asymptomatic stage B individuals.