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International journal of gynecological cancer : official journal of the International Gynecological Cancer Society · 2026

Temporal trends and sources of variation in late-stage cervical cancer diagnosis in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

СтатьяСистематический обзорМетаанализНазвание и аннотация: Перевод в очереди
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Ebrahimoghli Reza, Aghaei Mir Hossein, Hakimi Mohammad Hossein, Moradoghli Fereshteh, Mehri Saeid, Ghadimi Saeid, Adham Davoud

Аннотация

OBJECTIVE: Late-stage cervical cancer diagnosis is a key driver of mortality in resource-limited settings. We aimed to synthesize available evidence on late-stage presentation and subsequently analyze the sources of variation and temporal trends across low- and middle-income countries.

METHODS: We performed a systematic review and random-effects meta-analysis of observational studies reporting stage distribution of invasive cervical cancer in low- and middle-income countries. We searched PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, and Embase from inception to August 1, 2025. We pooled study proportions using the Freeman-Tukey double-arcsine transformation and DerSimonian-Laird random-effects models. Prespecified sub-group analyses assessed potential sources of heterogeneity. Temporal trends were also examined.

RESULTS: Analysis of 132 studies (189,716 women) from 37 low- and middle-income countries yielded a pooled late-stage prevalence of 51.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] 48.2% to 54.2%, I2 = 98.9 %). Meta-regression identified the World Health Organization Universal Health Coverage index as a significant predictor of late-stage presentation (β = -0.0032, p = .002), whereas temporal analysis confirmed diagnostic stagnation over 3 decades (β = 0.003, p = .121). Significant variation was observed by region (Q = 44.90, p < .001), with the highest prevalence in Africa (55.9%, 95% CI 52.1% to 59.7%) and in low-income countries (55.9%, 95% CI 51.2% to 61.4%). Population-based registries reported significantly lower estimates (44.8%, 95% CI 38.4% to 51.2%) than clinical case series (Q = 9.43, p = .009). Sensitivity analyses confirmed that results were robust to study quality (p = .10) and staging frameworks (p = .40).

CONCLUSIONS: One in 2 women in low- and middle-income countries is diagnosed at an advanced stage, with no significant improvement over time. The strong association between lower Universal Health Coverage levels and late presentation suggests that health-system-level barriers, rather than only individual-level factors, are primary drivers. Strengthening Universal Health Coverage frameworks and equitable screening access are quantitatively supported priorities to shift diagnosis toward earlier, curable stages.

Предметные рубрики MeSH

ИП Урсолов Владлен Сергеевич

ИНН 500118482352 · ОГРНИП 314500117700049

Реквизиты и контакты