Course and predictors of medically unexplained pain symptoms in the general population.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this study was to explore the course and the predictors of clinically significant medically unexplained pain symptoms (MUS-pain) within the 6 months preceding the interviews at baseline and on follow-up in the general population.

METHODS

A Norwegian general population study of 605 persons interviewed with the Composite International Diagnostic Interview Somatoform Section was conducted in 1989/1990 (baseline), and 421 persons (69.6% response rate; 242 women and 179 men) were reinterviewed in 2000/2001 (follow-up). Cases of recent MUS-pain compared with those at baseline were assessed on follow-up. Four blockwise logistic regression analyses were undertaken to find predictors (such as stressful life events, living alone, depression and anxiety, and physical morbidity) for recent MUS-pain in 2001.

RESULTS

A small "stable" group of recent MUS-pain sufferers (8% of all reinterviewed and 33.6% of those with recent MUS-pain at baseline) was evident. In this group almost all were women. In addition to female gender being a significant (P<.05) marker of recent MUS-pain (which gives a twofold-higher risk compared with men), only depression--not the occurrence of prior recent MUS-pain--remained a significant (P<.05) predictor in the final model, increasing the likelihood of having recent MUS-pain by threefold.

CONCLUSION

The prognosis of MUS-pain is relatively good, except for a small group (mainly women) that is prone to chronicity. Clinicians should examine for depression when confronted with MUS-pain patients and should be aware of the twofold-higher risk in women for persistent MUS-pain over a long time.