Long-term care needs of hospitalized persons with AIDS: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE

As the treatment for HIV infection has improved, AIDS has become a chronic disease, and the demand for long-term care has increased. The authors studied a cohort of hospitalized persons with AIDS to determine the proportion and characteristics of AIDS patients who could appropriately be cared for in long-term care facilities with skilled nursing.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

Medical wards of five Seattle tertiary care hospitals.

PARTICIPANTS

120 consecutive hospitalized persons with AIDS and their primary care physicians, nurses, and social workers.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN

RESULTS

Appropriateness for long-term care was determined by the patients' physicians, nurses, and social workers. Persons with AIDS who were appropriate for long-term care constituted 32% of the cohort (38 of 120), accounting for 35% of hospital days (11 of these 38 were discharged to long-term care facilities). Four admission characteristics were independently related to appropriateness: impaired activities of daily living, diagnosis of central nervous system illness or poor cognition, living alone, and weight loss. A discriminant function correctly classified over 80% of patients for appropriateness and was developed into a predictive index for planning patient care (sensitivity = 0.74, specificity = 0.85).

CONCLUSIONS

The authors conclude that one-third of hospitalized persons with AIDS may be appropriate for care in long-term care settings, accounting for one-third of the days AIDS patients currently spend in hospitals. These patients can be identified early in hospital stays using a simple predictive index at the bedside.