The International journal on drug policy · 2025
The opioid crisis in Poland? Insights from online forum data.
СтатьяПоддержка исследования: вне правительства СШАНазвание и аннотация: Перевод в очереди
Обработка статьи · этапы, ошибки и управление
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Siuda Piotr, Matuszewski Paweł
Аннотация
BACKGROUND: In recent years, Polish media have raised alarms about the growing opioid threat. However, the latest research challenges these concerns, indicating a lack of factual evidence about the rise in the treatment and consumption of opioids. The present research contributes to this debate by analyzing online discussion trends on the Hyperreal-the most significant Polish forum for debating psychoactive substances. The aim is to verify whether online user discussions reflect-or contradict-concerns about an emerging opioid crisis in Poland, and how such discussions may complement other forms of data.
METHODS: The study is based on 1,174,816 Hyperreal posts from its start in 2005 to 2023, of which 208,768 were related to opioids. Text data were cleaned and lemmatized. We conducted a time series analysis to track changes in posts, mentions, user numbers, and the proportion of opioid-related posts relative to overall forum content.
RESULTS: Our analysis showed that codeine was the most popular opioid on the forum, while fentanyl and oxycodone-reported by the media as spreading in Poland-did not garner much attention. Overall, throughout the 20 years, the discussions on opioids remained at a stable level, with a decline in posts and users since 2021, and other topics becoming more frequent.
CONCLUSION: The findings suggest that media narratives may be exaggerated and offer additional support for the view that Poland is currently not experiencing the early stages of a crisis. Nonetheless, we emphasize the need for further research on actual opioid consumption patterns.
METHODS: The study is based on 1,174,816 Hyperreal posts from its start in 2005 to 2023, of which 208,768 were related to opioids. Text data were cleaned and lemmatized. We conducted a time series analysis to track changes in posts, mentions, user numbers, and the proportion of opioid-related posts relative to overall forum content.
RESULTS: Our analysis showed that codeine was the most popular opioid on the forum, while fentanyl and oxycodone-reported by the media as spreading in Poland-did not garner much attention. Overall, throughout the 20 years, the discussions on opioids remained at a stable level, with a decline in posts and users since 2021, and other topics becoming more frequent.
CONCLUSION: The findings suggest that media narratives may be exaggerated and offer additional support for the view that Poland is currently not experiencing the early stages of a crisis. Nonetheless, we emphasize the need for further research on actual opioid consumption patterns.