Risk Factors and Mortality Among Women With Interval Breast Cancer vs Screen-Detected Breast Cancer.

IMPORTANCE

The risk factors for interval breast cancer (IBC) compared with those for screen-detected breast cancer (SBC) and their association with mortality outcomes have not yet been evaluated among Korean women.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate risk factors associated with IBC and survival among Korean women with IBC compared with those with SBC.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND

PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective cohort study used data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service Database. Women who participated in a national mammographic breast cancer screening program between January 1, 2009, and December 31, 2012, were included. Mortality outcomes were calculated from the date of breast cancer diagnosis to the date of death or December 31, 2020. Data were analyzed from March 1 to June 30, 2023.

EXPOSURE: Breast cancer diagnosed within 6 to 24 months after a negative screening result (ie, IBC) or within 6 months after a positive screening result (ie, SBC).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Risk factors and survival rates for IBC and SBC.

RESULTS

This study included 8702 women with IBC (mean [SD] age, 53.3 [8.6] years) and 9492 women with SBC (mean [SD] age, 54.1 [9.0] years). Compared with SBC, the probability of IBC decreased as mammographic density increased. Lower body mass index, menopausal status, hormone replacement therapy (HRT) use, and lack of family history of breast cancer were associated with a higher likelihood of IBC. When stratified by detection time, younger age at breast cancer diagnosis and family history of breast cancer were associated with an increased likelihood of IBC diagnosed at 6 to 12 months but a decreased likelihood of IBC diagnosed at 12 to 24 months. Overall mortality of IBC was comparable with SBC, but total mortality and cancer-related mortality of IBC diagnosed between 6 and 12 months was higher than that of SBC.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The findings of this cohort study suggest that breast density, obesity, and HRT use were associated with IBC compared with SBC. These findings also suggest that higher supplemental breast ultrasound use among Korean women, especially those with dense breasts, could be attributed to a lower incidence of IBC among women with dense breasts compared with women with SBC, due to greater detection. Finally, overall mortality of IBC was comparable with that of SBC.