Prognostic value of flow-mediated dilation in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: a pilot prospective cohort study.

This pilot study evaluated the predictive value of flow-mediated dilation (FMD) for damage accrual in a cohort of SLE patients. Thirty-eight female SLE patients without cardiovascular involvement were enrolled. Clinical history, traditional cardiovascular risk factors, laboratory parameters, disease activity and damage and brachial artery FMD were collected at study entry and after a mean follow-up of 4.5 years. At enrollment, 18 patients (47%) presented active disease; mean FMD was 7.9 ± 3.1%, with no statistically significant differences between women with active and inactive disease. During the follow-up, 3 patients died and 14 accrued organ damage. Baseline FMD did not predict death and damage accrual. FMD showed significant decline over time, which was greater in patients with poor outcome (-3.9% vs -1.9%, p = 0.03). In conclusion, in a cohort of SLE patients, baseline FMD was not predictive of damage accrual. However, the latter was associated with progressive loss of FMD.